Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Geelong

The Game Plan for Geelong – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($50 All-Up)
Enjoy An Ale (Race 1 No.7) $4
I love the way this guy returned from a break with a slashing third behind two pretty nice horses in Maybetothemax and Daenerys Targaryen. David Van Ryn has his team low-flying and in a race where his major dangers have drawn the second row, I expect him to be really hard to beat.

Blackwarrior (Race 2 No.9) $1.50
This fella returned with a thoroughly impressive win first-up. That may have been a 3C0-1 race at Melton and while he only beat the second horse by just on a metre, they gapped the rest with third 24 metres away. They ran a pretty slick last half there (57.1secs) for that class. A repeat of that performance would make him the horse to beat for sure and certain and he looks a nice way to end our early All-Up.

Best Roughie ($20 place)
Kadabra Dynasty (Race 7 No.1) $17
This guy is first up from the stand today, and while his form last preparation was neither brilliant nor terrible, I’m banking on a trial as a good indicator that he is close to his top. He won a trial at Melton on July 1 in handy enough fractions for this class, coming from the 10-metre mark. He is off the front today and while probably not a winning chance, can place for sure.

The Money Race ($40 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Race 5 
Anna Faye (1) has been simply terrific since crossing the ditch and has the barrier to be involved in this for a long way. Her latest win at Bendigo was the perfect lead up for this while Celebrity Lass (3) is in the right camp and good winning form so while her margins haven’t been great, she can keep improving along with Loong Nien (9) who is a nice horse drawn to get another soft pegline run and sprint home hard. They are the key chances with any of Ultimate CC (4) Maka Killin (6), Atticus Finch (7) or Rock Albert (10) capable of placing so we will play three trifectas as outlined below.

Boxed 1,3,9. $18 gets 300%
1,3,9/1,3,9/4,6,7,10. $12 gets 50%
1,3,9/4,6,7,10/1,3,9. $10 gets 41.66%

Quaddies (x4 worth $100)
1,3,9/3,4,7/6/6,8. $36 gets 200%
1,3,9/2,8/6/6,8. $18 gets 150%
1,3,9/3,4,7/1,3,4,11,12/6,8.  $37 gets 41.11%
4,6,7,10/3,4,7/6/6,8. $9 gets 37.5%

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.