Saturday, July 26, 2014

Good Form Preview - Sat Night @ Bray

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Despite the winter weather there’s little doubt that the crowd will be pretty handy @ Bray Raceway tonight & they will be in for a treat with three Breeders Crown heats & an exceptional fast class affair. The cornerstone of my punting approach tonight will be a very low-risk if not overly lucrative All-Up which should at least pay for our Quad. We’ll also be targeting three Money Races, which will be exactly the same races we attack in our All-Up, so they will obviously be crucial to our success.

Best Bets/ All-Up ($100 Win)
Keayang Cullen (Race 5 no. 7) $1.40
This guy would be one of Victoria’s best half-dozen pacers in work & tonight he gets every condition to suit. That’s because he’s a 95% chance of spearing across & finding the front within 100m of the start and he thrives over the sprint trip so should not be caught once he hits the top.

Epaulette (Race 8 no. 4) $1.40
Exceptional gate speed is also a massive weapon in the armoury of this exciting 3YO campaigner, but after his brave effort in The Graduate last weekend, he’s also developing a fair bit of bottom to his arsenal as well. Tonight, he will lead and from there, he should win.

Soho Tokyo (Race 9 no. 3) $1.50
I’m confident that if this girl had been in front last week with Katy Perry sitting outside of her, the result would have been reversed & that’s about as good a wrap as you can get if you’re a juvenile filly this term. Delight Me (1) looks talented but this filly is brutal and should not lose tonight.

The Money Races

Race 5
As mentioned above I just think Keayang Cullen (7) leads & wins here but what I’m relying on almost more than that is likely second elect Restrepo (3) missing second or even third position. The way I see the race being run Restrepo (3) is going to have to sit parked on a pretty brutal tempo & the way that he’s racing I’m not so sure he’s a lock to run a drum.
7/ 1,2,3,5/ 1,2,3,5/ 1,2,3,5. $60 gets 250%
7/ 1,2,3,5/ 1,2,3,5/ 4,6. $20 gets 83.33%

Race 8
If a Sprint Lane was in operation here I’d be almost certain that Epaulette (4) would lead and the two horses directly behind him in Will Mach My Word (1) & Mulgrave (8) would finish in the placings. I’m still pretty confident that will happen but Jilliby Jagger (7) is untapped and may sneak into third.
4/ 1/ 8. $50 gets 5000%
4/ 1/ 7. $20 gets 2000%
4/ 8/ 1. $10 gets 1000%

Race 9
Soho Tokyo (3) should bully its way to the top here and prove a class above while Delight Me (1) is the obvious silver medal prospect, particularly as she looks almost certain to hold the leader’s back.
3/ 1/ 8. $20 gets 2000%
3/ 1/ 6,7. $20 gets 1000%

The Quad
7/ 2,6/ 1,2,3,6,9,11/ 4. $100 gets 833.33%



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