Thursday, July 17, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Cobram

The Game Plan for Cobram – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)

Best Bets ($40 win)

Mammals Spark (Race 3 No.1) $1.90

I know this guy was beaten as an odds-on pop last start but I think he is much better than that. He got back in a slowly run race then had to make up ground before racing wide on the home bend. While he didn’t break the clock late, this race isn’t a lot harder and provided he goes straight, he looks one of the better bets on the program.

Road To Rock (Race 7 No.7) $3.40

Returning from a break, I’m convinced this guy has a class edge over all his front-row rivals. For that reason I wouldn’t be surprised to see him go forward as the arms fold back and given he has returned with a strong trial win in a 57.7sec last half, he shouldn’t be far away from the mark.

Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)

Ynobe Coby (Race 2 No.1) $8

Even prior to the scratching of Upanatom I was considering throwing this guy into the game plan as a place bet but with the long odds-on favourite gone, I genuinely believe he can win the race. There is no doubt Dobop (12) is the most serious threat but the pole marker should have the speed to hold a forward position and he was a touch unlucky in a heat of this race so with a gun around the circuit I can see him sprinting sharply and getting the coin at nice odds.

Uroc Mman (Race 6 No.7) $5.50

It’s hard to deny Pressplay (8) her chance coming off a Group 1 win but in saying that she hasn’t necessarily been a dominant filly in her generation and Uroc Mman (7) has plenty of talent. He blew the start last time which cost him his chance but prior to that he won strongly in a decent form race so all things being equal, while we won’t be breaking the bank, if he fires off the arm and takes a forward position he looks a terrific chance.

Quaddies (x3 worth $110)

5,6,7,9,11/7,8/7,8/6,7,8,11. $60 gets 75%

5,6,7,9,11/1,3,4,5/7,8/6,7,8,11. $30 gets 18.75%

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