Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Bendigo

The Game Plan for Bendigo – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($50 Win)
Aldebaran Seismic (Race 3 No.4) $2.10
This guy is still relatively inexperienced with only four starts to his name but his win two starts ago was thoroughly dominant. He was favourite over Action Kosmos last time when he broke and I’ve got no doubt Ole Sun (5) is no more than the equal of that horse. Add to that the fact that Ole Sun (5) has proven to be a little tricky in his gait, and we are banking on Aldebaran Seismic’s (4) manners and progression to get the job done.

Whereibylong (Race 5 No.4) $2.50
While most of Victoria’s best fillies were chasing the Vicbred Super Series, this juvenile Breeders Crown winner headed north to smash her rivals in the Breeders Challenge. I think she has gone to another level since defeat in the Vic Oaks and while Rocknroll Arden (7) has been competitive against older rivals in New Zealand, she doesn’t have a lot of gate speed and will likely be spotting Emma Stewart’s filly a decent start.

Best Value ($10 win x $25 place)
Popeye Village (Race 6 No.3) $7.50
This bet will hinge on our guy crossing his rivals as the arms fold back but I think he is a decent chance of doing so. He did win a similar race at Warragul three starts back and even though there are a couple of handy horses engaged here, I’m convinced this guy goes better when he can get to the pegs so he can run a massive race if that scenario ensues.

The Money Race $40 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Race 1
Five Star Belle (1) has shown good ability in four starts and while this is the first time she draws inside on the front row, she has probably shown enough speed to kick up and hold the top. If that’s the case then Artistica Uno (8) should enjoy a lovely run and is going well enough to run in the trifecta somewhere so we are going to rove those two with the wider chances in three separate trifecta’s.

1,8/1,8/2,4,7,9,10. $25 gets 250%
1,8/2,4,7,9,10/1,8. $10 gets 100%
2,4,7,9,10/1,8/1,8. $5 gets 50%

Quaddies (x2 worth $100)
4,6/4,7/2,3,7,8,10/7. $60 gets 300%
4,6/4,7/2,3,7,8,10/3,8,9. $40 gets 66.66%

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