Monday, July 14, 2014

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Kilmore


The Game Plan for Kilmore – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

It’s been a slightly frustrating weekend as finding winners wasn’t hard but making money from them was. Hopefully that turns around a bit today as there are a number of short priced favourites across the eight-race card but most if not all are vulnerable so rather than focussing on Best Bets I’ve found 1 Best Value, 1 Best Roughie, 2 money Races and some Quads and the order of the day will be to get the hot-pops rolled.


Best Value ($20 x $30)

Hugh (Race 5 no. 12) $8.50

Coming off 20m over short to middle distance trips and winning is no easy task but I’ve always had a reasonable opinion of the above pacer and in this pretty moderate field I think he’s worth an Each way investment, particularly as he trialled well at Bendigo eight days back.


Best Roughie ($5 Win $25 Place)

Baltimore Boy (Race 8 no. 1) $34

While I concede Bellmac Kody (6) is the horse to beat here I can’t accept the above trotter as the dead-set roughie he’s been painted in today’s Herald Sun so you can count me in for something 1 x 5.


The Money Races

Race 2

Time Capsule (2) is the class factor here but I’m pretty impressed by Game We Play (5) & I’m confident they’ll have this race between them.


2,5/ 2,5/ 1. $45 gets 2250%

2,5/ 1/ 2,5. $15 gets $750%

2,5/ 2,5/ 4,6,7. $30 gets 500%


Race 6

Raylan Gibbins (5) is the best horse engaged here but he may have to do some work if he’s to win today so I’m half potting him by throwing him in the winning mix with Mister Smoochy (1) and Missanger Management (7) rather than standing him out.


1,5 & 7 Boxed. $30 gets 500%

1,5,7/ 1,5,7/ 3,8. $30 gets 250%


The Quads (x4 for $170)

4,12/ 1,5,7/ 1,3,5,6,7,8,9,10,11/ 6. $54 gets 100%

3,7,8,9/ 1,5,7/ 1,3,5,6,7,8,9,10,11/ 6.$27 gets 25%

4,12/ 1,5,7/ 1,3,5,6,7,8,9,10,11/ 1,3,4,7,10. $54 gets 20%

3,7,8,9/ 1,5,7/ 1,3,5,6,7,8,9,10,11/ 1,3,4,7,10. $35 gets 6.48%

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