Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Good Form Preview - Hump Day @ Mary

The Game Plan for Maryborough – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
It was very pleasing to return in some sort of form yesterday with Lost In Bangkok ensuring we walked away from Quest Racing Complex with a handy profit for our troubles but today’s meeting is tricky and there’s less opportunity to snare a double-figure winner on the card. Having said that, I’m very happy with our two Money Races and our Best Bet here and if we can jag some value in either the 1st or 3rd Leg of today’s Quad it could be another pretty profitable programme.

Best Bet ($50 Win)

Real Character (Race 8 no. 8) $2.70
This fellow doesn’t win out of turn and probably couldn’t have drawn much worse than inside the line given the way today’s race is likely to be run but he won’t know himself back in this sort of grade haven tackled some pretty handy horses in recent weeks. He also gets the benefit of champion reinsman Gavin Lang, who should make a formality of overcoming the awkward alley, so if you’re getting black and white figures, get involved for sure.

The Money Races
Race 4 (Flexi First 4’s for $50)

The start will be all important here but if Fremarks Ceejay (6) cruises across the field before handing up to Mixedwithajasper (7) here one of these First 4’s listed should lob as a matter of course.

7/ 6/ 5,8,9,10/ 5,8,9,10. $30 gets 250%
7/ 5,8,9,10/ 6/ 5,8,9,10. $12 gets 100%
6/ 7/ 5,8,9,10/ 5,8,9,10. $8 gets 66.67%

Race 6 (Flexi Trifectas for $70)
There seems little doubt that Gotta Go Party (4) should lead here with Stunning Grin (9) working up to sit parked at some stage and from there they should draw away to fight this race out, with the latter horse likely to get the upper hand. Hopefully we can jag one of the top two combos as I think they could pay better than you might expect.

9/ 4/ 6,7. $32 gets 1600%
4/ 9/ 6,7. $20 gets 1000%
9/ 4/ 1,2,3. $12 gets 400%
4/ 9/ 1,2,3. $6 gets 200%

The Quads (x2 for $180)
1,2,3,6,8/ 4,9/ 1,2,4,5,6,7,8,9,11/ 8. $90 gets 100%
1,2,3,6,8/ 4,9/ 1,2,4,5,6,7,8,9,11/ 1,4,6,11. $90 gets 25%

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