Thursday, July 24, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Charlton

The Game Plan for Charlton – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bet ($30 Win)
Jackabeems (Race 6 No.1) $5
This looks a race in three at most but I’m confident there are only two serious winning chances. Given Jackabeems (1) is at terrific value, he is worthy of having something on. He was terrific when working mid-race at Horsham last time before toughing it out late so if he can hold them wide early, or even if he ends up behind the leader, then he is going to run one almighty race.

Salute The Wind (Race 8 No.13) $4.80
This guy is dropping viciously in class coming off a 12-metre defeat behind Illawong Magic at Melton a couple of weeks ago. He was shuffled back on the pegs there but was good late and provided he steps OK, which can be an issue, he rates as the clear elect and one of the best bets on the program.

Best Roughie ($10 win x $20 place)
Ruby Slippers (Race 5 No.1) $12
If punters are keen on just one wager for the program then I’d suggest this is the one. I’m supremely confident this mare will run a massive race at good odds. Things just haven’t worked out for her in recent times with a few poor barriers and unlucky efforts but back to the pole, she has the speed to hold them as the arms fold back and from there she has options. If we see $12 about her then that is terrific shopping on an each way basis.

The Money Races
Race 1 ($50 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Real Character (5) will likely start in the red and while we probably can’t make any money from him by backing him straight out, Solace (1) looks almost as good a thing to run either second or third from his gun alley while Arthur Henry (6) and Usage (8) look like the only other place hopes so we will play the following three combinations.

5/1/6,8. $25 gets 1250%
5/6,8/1. $15 gets 750%
5/6,8/6,8. $10 gets 500%

Race 6 ($50 Flexi First Four)
As mentioned, Jackabeems (1) is one of two key chances along with Beachstar (4) so while we will be content to get our best bet home, there is also an opportunity to boost our dividend with skinny first four.

1,4/1,4/3,4,6/3,4,6. $50 gets 416.67%

Quaddies (x4 worth $100)
1,3/1,4/1,2,5,8/13. $32 gets 400%
2,5,6,8/1,4/1,2,5,8/13. $24 gets 75%
1,3/1,4/1,2,5,8/5,6,7,8,10,11. $26 gets 27.08%
2,5,6,8/1,4/1,2,5,8/5,6,7,8,10,11. $18 gets 9.3%

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