The Game Plan for Melton – with
Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($30 win)
Hectorjayjay (Race 4 No.13) $3.40
TAB Fixed Odds - Click Here to bet on this horse now.
He may
have drawn outside the back row but that didn’t stop him in last year’s Vicbred
Semi-Final where he charged around the field. I’ve been stunned by a couple of
his wins this time in and he is really showing himself to have ultimate class.
I’d back his turn of foot and toughness to get him out of any position he finds
himself in this race.
Im Smouldering (Race 5 No.6)
$1.90 TAB Fixed Odds - Click Here to bet on this horse now.
She
took her division last year and I can’t see it going any other way again this
season. After a thoroughly dominant heat win in the quickest time on Semi-Final
night, I’m expecting her to rush forward and claim the top from
Courageousnquick (5) early and from there she will be near on impossible to run
down at close to flip of the coin odds.
Best Value ($5 win x $15 place)
Machin Out (Race 1 No.13) $7 - Click Here to bet on this horse now.
This
guy has struck a pretty even race but he is in a rare vein of form and while he
hadn’t had much go his way before a last start second, I think he can go on
with that now. He didn’t have a lot of clear room late there and even if he
sits back and comes with one run, there looks some genuine tempo in this race
so he should be able to get into the fight late.
Ricimer (Race 2 No.1) $4.40 TAB
Fixed Odds - Click Here to bet on this horse now.
This
guy was brave in his Semi-Final, continuing to find the line in a blanket
finish. He won his first three starts impressively before galloping late when
looking certain to run second in the Home Grown final and given he should enjoy
a lovely trail here, I think he is the horse to beat.
The
Money Races
Race
7 ($35 worth of Flexi First Four’s) - Click Here to bet on this race now.
Keayang
Cullen (7) has
the speed to negate his barrier pretty quickly and given he hit winning form
last time, he can be relied upon to go on with it however I was taken by the
first up effort of Bitobliss (10) and if he progresses off that expect him to
be stomping home late. The third key hope has to be the warhorse Smoken Up (11)
who is too classy to leave out. I’ll be playing the following trifectas.
Boxed Trifecta 7,10,11. $18 gets
300%
7,10,11/7,10,11/4,6,8. $12 gets
66.66%
7,10,11/4,6,8/7,10,11. $5 gets
27.77%
Race
8 ($50 worth of Flexi Trifecta’s) - Click Here to bet on this horse now.
Lennytheshark
(4) has been thoroughly
dominant this time in and I think if he finds the front he really is still the
horse to beat. Guaranteed (9) is the
obvious danger and despite the poor draw I still think Ginger Bliss (8) is quite clearly the third pick in the race so I’m
playing as follows.
4/9/8. $20 gets 2000%
9/4/8. $12 gets 1200%
4/9/1,3,10 $12 gets 400%
9/4/1,3,10. $6 gets 200%
The
EARLY Quaddies (x1 worth $48) - Click Here to bet on the Quaddie now.
6,10,11,13/1,7/2,3,5,13/5,7,13.
$48 gets 50%
Quaddie
JACKPOT (x4 worth $80) - Click Here to bet on the Quaddie now.
6/5/7,10,11/4. $36 gets 1200%
6/5/4,6,8/4. $18 gets 600%
6/5/7,10,11/8,9. $18 gets 300%
2,5,10/5/7,10,11/4. $8 gets
88.88%
Sectionals
To view the sectional
splits of EVERY HORSE in EVERY RACE at Melton last Friday night simply click here.
As a snapshot below, here are some of the star sectional performers at Melton last weekend.
Fastest Last Quarter – Hectorjayjay: 27.50secs
Fastest Last Half – My Bella Star: 55.68secs
Fastest Last Mile – Im Smouldering: 1:55.89
As a snapshot below, here are some of the star sectional performers at Melton last weekend.
Fastest Last Quarter – Hectorjayjay: 27.50secs
Fastest Last Half – My Bella Star: 55.68secs
Fastest Last Mile – Im Smouldering: 1:55.89
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