Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Quest

The Game Plan for Shepparton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
As a general rule, I love betting at Quest Racing Complex and after a handy little patch of form we can head into tonight’s programme feeling pretty confident we’re set for more success., There are a couple of horses who look super hard to beat @ short quotes this evening but there are things that could get in their way so I’m steering clear of them in preference for 1 Best Value Bet, 1 Best Roughie, 2 Money races & some Quads.

Best Value ($20 Each Way)
Run Clancy Run (Race 3 no. 8) $6.50
This bloke would be getting a little frustrating for punters as he has promised to win a race in recent times without actually getting that close but tonight may well be the night. Perhaps the ultimate key factor in his favour here is the gate eight draw as he’s an absolute, dead-set sit-sprinter and whether he lobs behind the leader or three back the poles he’ll only need an inch of luck for his turn of foot to prove very dangerous in the lane.

Best Roughie ($10 Win $20 Place)
Arrokeefe (Race 1 no. 11) $12
This bloke ran two super races in a row at this course and Swan Hill before making an early error last time out at Bendigo, he has since won a trial at this track in pretty handy fashion and if they run along up front, which is a distinct possibility, he’ll at least be charging home for you when it matters most.

The Money Races (First 4’s for $80)
Race 4
I'm not sure Young Modern (5) is an absolute, can’t-be-beaten moral here but he’s a very smart 3YO who has an enormous amount in his favour here, including the fact that he should find the front if Stanley wants to get aggressive in the early/middle stages. If he does win I think there are three horses that should fight out silver medal honours and from there we’re hoping for some value in third & fourth.

5/ 1,6,7/ 1,6,7/ 1,2,3,6,7,8. $60 gets 250%
5/ 1,6,7/ 2,3,8/ 1,2,3,6,7,8. $20 gets 55.56%

Race 7
This will be a sensational Breeders Crown heat for the baby boys where Birdy Mach (4) should have the requisite speed and intimidation factor to cross his Tatlow Stakes conqueror Kept Under Wraps (1) and they should settle down for a two horse war from as far as 600m out from home. I’ll be mesmerised if they don’t run the Quinella here with Birdy Mach (4) favoured to salute and outside of them we need some good exotic value once again for third & fourth.

4/ 1/ 3,5,6,7/ 3,5,6,7. $44 gets 366.67%
1/ 4/ 3,5,6,7/ 3,5,6,7. $18 gets 150%
4/ 1/ 3,5,6,7/ 8,9,10. $12 gets 100%
1/ 4/ 3,5,6,7/ 8,9,10. $6 gets 50%

The Quads (x4 for $120)
5,6,9/ 5,7/ 1,4/ 10. $48 gets 400%
5,6,9/ 5,7/ 1,4/ 4,5. $48 gets 200%
5,6,9/ 3,6/ 1,4/ 10. $12 gets 100%
5,6,9/ 3,6/ 1,4/ 4,5. $12 gets 50%

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.