Thursday, July 31, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Bendigo

The Game Plan for Bendigo – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($75 Win All Up)
Almihata (Race 1 No.5) $2.10
This girl may be a veteran of just three starts but she was rated highly enough to start favourite over Niki No No at her second start and she showed good speed following that in her heat of the Home Grown Classic. She has returned with a good third at the Melton trials recently and if she has improved at all off her first preparation, she should be winning this.

Royal Hustler (Race 3 No.7) $1.10
This fella broke when favourite to beat the promising Allies Mate last start and prior to that he was coming off a lot stronger form lines than he will meet here. He has the ability to bully his way forward here and either lead or breeze and from that position, only a similar disaster to his latest effort would see him beaten in an eminently winnable race.

Messini (Race 4 No.3) $1.20
Brent Lilley has a really super 3YO Colt here. Perhaps the best of his crop and he has gone some way to proving that with four slashing wins in Australia this preparation which include a Group 1 Vicbred Super Series win thanks to a lightning mid-race move to the breeze. He is just as adept in front and while Jilliby Jagger (6) is untapped and on the way up, I’d be shocked to see this guy go under tonight.

Hectorjayjay (Race 8 No.2) $1.20
Nothing went right for this guy in the Vicbred Super Series final however that can’t take away from the promise he showed leading up to that run. He has the early speed to get to the front early and from that position he would need only return to his previous form to be far too good for this field on the way to being a live chance in the Breeders Crown final.

Best Value ($25 Win)
Purple Village (Race 6 No.3) $3.60
This guy is first-up but was mixing it with horses like V C DEVIL and SUPALINER late in his last campaign and those horses would start pretty short in this sort of race and although it was six weeks ago, he was a solid trial winner at Echuca back on June 15. If he can cross the polemarker early, he should end up no worse than behind the leader and from there he will play a part late.

Best Roughies
King Rafa (Race 6 No.4) $26 ($5 Win x $20 Place)
If he can fly the arm, which he hasn’t had the opportunity to do a lot recently then I can see him running a much improved race. He has been back in the field pulling and reefing so if he does get things his own way in front, then he could be a serious threat at the odds.

Gazoline (Race 6 No.7) $21 ($10 Win x $20 Place)
In a typically tough trot race this is the horse who may well go around well over his true price. He was only first-up the other day but his effort to sit outside them and battle on strongly for fifth was impressive. He comes back to a 10-metre mark so he may even find the front in the early stages. He is by no means a certainty but he is no doubt a leading chance at odds.

The Money Race ($40 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Race 8
We’ve mentioned why Hectorjayjay (2) is the best horse in the race but make no mistake Time Capsule (5) is pretty promising himself while the NSW invader Theartofconfusion (6) can’t be discounted along with the well-drawn A Bit Ruthless (1) for that reason we will play the following trifectas.

2/5/1,6. $20 gets 1000%
2/1,6/5. $10 gets 500%
2/5/3,4,7. $12 gets 400%
2/1,6/1,6. $8 gets 400%

Quaddies (x4 worth $120)
1,4,5,6/1,5,7,11/1,8/2. $48 gets 150%
1,4,5,6/3,8,9,10/1,8/2. $24 gets 75%
1,4,5,6/1,5,7,11/3,6,7,10/2. $32 gets 50%
1,4,5,6/3,8,9,10/3,6,7,10/2. $16 gets 25%

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.