Thursday, July 24, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Kilmore

The Game Plan for Kilmore – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($30 Win)
Four Lillies (Race 1 No.8) $2.80
This girl may well be drawn awkwardly on the inside of the second row here but the offset to that is that I think she is pretty classy and not only was she a top class 2YO, she has returned to smash her rivals in a heat of the Vicbred Super Series before running well in the final behind Claudys Princess. I expect her to be getting off the pegs early and class really should tell late.

Sir Jaybe Hall (Race 6 No.6) $2.40
This guy quickly developed early this preparation to ascend to the heights of defeating Musical Delight and just being edged out by Hes Kinky and he hasn’t had a lot of luck recently. He is suited by the stand and has a really good record behind the tapes so don’t worry about the 10-metre mark and on form he is clearly the horse to beat.

Kensington Palace (Race 8 No.8) $3.80
I must admit to loving this mare but make no mistake, this is a good drop in class on her recent efforts and provided things work out early, she is going to be hard to beat. Tara Tom (1) should have the speed to lead and if Kensington Palace (8) ends up behind him, I expect her to outsprint them in the straight.

Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)
Shares Down (Race 2 No.2) $6
While this is on a bit of a wing and a prayer, I’m willing to take the risk, at the price, that this guy could be relatively handy. He was well supported on debut and is a 5YO so connections have persisted with him. Add to that the fact the winner got away from her rivals there, but he ran home strongly when clear along the pegline. If he improves, this race isn’t much harder so he is worth an each way punt.

Majorama (Race 7 Number 6) $6.50
This fella has had four runs since crossing over from Tasmania and there has been merit in every single effort. There’s no doubt this is a little rise in class but he is a pretty tough customer and can do it tough if necessary, so again while we won’t be breaking the bank, he is worthy of an each-way wager at nice odds.

Best Roughie ($10 win x $20 place)
Ole Sun (Race 4 No.1) $10
If we can get $10 about this customer it will be terrific shopping because while he is a veteran of just four starts, I’m confident he is going places. To be fair he has had some troubles in his gait in the past but last time he put it all together and was a cosy winner at Kilmore. I’ve got no doubt Bellmac Kody is the horse to beat all things being equal, but it’s simply impossible to ignore this guy on an each way basis.

Quaddies (x4 worth $140)
10/1,5,6,8/2,3,6/8. $48 gets 400%
10/1,5,6,8/2,3,6/1,7,9. $36 gets 100%
10/1,5,6,8/1,4,5,10/8. $20 gets 100%
4,7,11/1,5,6,8/2,3,6/8. $36 gets 100%

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