Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Ballarat

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bet ($40 win)
Luv Tha Aces Lombo (Race 4 No.6) $2.60
This guy had to sit parked outside major rival Liston (2) last time and couldn’t run him down however with Jetshawjoe (3) engaged there should be a little more early pressure which will suit this fella. He was good two starts back when defeating a similar field so there is no doubt he is ready to win again.

Best Value ($25 win)
Art Of Love (Race 6 No.7) $3.80
Although he has drawn poorly, I love the way Art Of Love (7) is progressing as a horse and the draw will only add value to his price tonight. He didn’t see a lot of clear air rounding the home turn and did finish well when clear behind the pretty smart Manuka Man last time, so in an easier race, I think he is the horse to beat for sure.

Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)
Irishmurphy (Race 2 No.1) $7.50
There is no doubt Fullness Of Time (9) is a very promising mare but I think Irishmurphy (1) is no slouch himself and clearly rates the second best chance in the race. He should be able to hold a forward position early and from there I expect him to be in the mix towards the end of the race.

The Money Race
Race 7 ($45 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Nothing worked out for Johnny Quid (1) last time and in a race where he won’t be out sped early, I can see him sitting somewhere in the first couple and outclassing his rivals. Stablemate Hes Kinky (2), Narra Operative (6) and Quadentate (8) look the major threats for the minors so we will play the following trifectas.

1/2,6,8/2,5,6,8,9,10. $30 gets 200%
1/5,9,10/2,5,6,8,9,10. $15 gets 100%

Quaddies (x4 worth $110)
1,6,9,11,12/7/1/3,5,7,9. $30 gets 150%
1,6,9,11,12/1,2,5,6/1/3,5,7,9. $25 gets 31.25%
1,6,9,11,12/7/2,6,8/3,5,7,9. $25 gets 31.25%
1,6,9,11,12/1,2,5,6/2,6,8/3,5,7,9. $30 gets 12.5%

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