Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Geelong

The Game Plan for Geelong – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
We’re back at Beckley Park tonight and while it is a tricky meeting, there are a number of runners I think should win with even luck and a whole heap more that can provide us with some genuine Each way value at odds. I’ve also found a sweet little Money race which could yield us a pretty handy profit and four Quads which encompass three of our Best Bets.

Best Bets/ Formula 3 ($60 gets 15 units)
Liston (Race 3 no. 1) $1.40
The only question mark for this bloke here is that he’s first-up for a new camp but Marnie Bibby usually does a pretty good job with her horses and if he holds his recent form this bloke should lead them around and skip away late for a  pretty easy success.

Live In Doubt (Race 5 no. 2) $2.60
I’ve got a huge amount of time for this 3YO pacer. He has gates speed, late speed and a healthy competitive instinct and after trialling three times in preparation for this first-up tilt he should either lead this lot outright or find the front off fellow fast beginner Tallulah Bay (3) and prove very difficult to roll either way.

Crusader Acey (Race 6 no. 6) $2.80
This guy was easily the more impressive of two heat winners for this pseudo-Hotshot series and to be honest it’s a massive surprise that he is not popular elect in today’s Herald Sun. The draw is awkward but I think he’ll still prove too nippy late.

Goodtime Marjie (Race 7 no. 1) $1.50
This big mare can do a couple of things wrong but she is blessed with any amount of talent. I think there’s a great chance she’ll hold the top and win from there but even if she gets crossed at the start I think she can work back off the inside and still get the cash.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)
Raylan Gibbins (Race 8 no. 11) $6
This bloke is blessed with plenty of natural talent and in a race where there are question marks over a few of them he looks capable of overcoming the extreme second line draw.

Best Roughies ($10 Win x $20 Place)
Caledonian Breeze (Race 2 no. 1) $12 & Argyle Melody (Race 2 no. 9) $12
These two fought out the finish of a similar race to this @ Melton back on April2 and neither has disgraced themselves in sour runs since apiece. They are not the most talented trotters engaged but they are very professional and both have a super chance of finishing on the dais.

Reeds May (Race 6 no. 5) $17
This guy is no superstar but it’s rare you see a heat winner enter a final of the same series paying $17. The key for him is that he is the fastest beginner engaged and if he can zoom straight to the front without spending too much petrol then he only has to keep running for 1140m tonight.

The Money Race – Race 3 (First 4’s for $80)
As mentioned earlier I very confident Liston (1) will lead and win here and with Luv Tha Aces Lombo (5) racing well under the care of Dean Braun and Pacific Soul (8) ideally drawn behind the favourite both more than likely to figure in First 4’s.

1/ 5,8/ 5,8/ Field. $60 gets 750%
1/ 5,8/ Field/ 5,8. $20 gets 250%

The Quads (x4 for $120)
2,3,11/ 6/ 1/ 1,3,4,5,7,11. $45 gets 250%
2,3,11/ 6/ 2,3,5/ 1,3,4,5,7,11. $27 gets 50%
2,3,11/ 2,4,5,11/ 1/ 1,3,4,5,7,11. $36 gets 50%
1,4,5,12/ 6/ 1/ 1,3,4,5,7,11. $12 gets 50%

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