Monday, May 12, 2014

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Yarra Valley

The Game Plan for Yarra Valley – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
We’re off to Wine Country today and there is a good mix of class horses taking on lesser opposition and wide open racing where almost anything can win. The first half of the game plan will rely on the better horses getting the nod however we plan to go very wide in the Quaddie and simply hope for a slice of what might be a massive dividend.

Best Bets  / All Up ($40)

Baranduda (Race 2 No.5) $2.10

This guy had to park up against what looks a pretty promising horse in Macterra Lad last time. He loomed on the bend but the winner ran away from them while he battled on OK for sixth. The smaller field here means he should be able to control the race if he rolls forward in the early stages and a return to either of his previous placings behind Punch Line and Our Cavort prior would see him very hard to beat today.

Rocknroll Music (Race 3 No.4) $1.70

In a race that looks between just two or three of them, I think this guy is a horse on the way up and we could be seeing his arrival in the next few starts. He is a half-brother to Maffioso and while things didn’t pan out two starts back, he put the writing on the wall with a thoroughly dominant win last time. He has shown very good early gate speed in his last two starts so don’t be surprised if he crosses them at the start and leads them a merry dance.

Im Havinaball (Race 4 No.1) $2.20

While this girls record might read 0 wins from 11 starts, I can promise you she is a lot better than that. She was just 3 metres behind Claudys Princess last time and has shown flickering’s of being up with some of the better trotters in her age and sex throughout her career. She is still learning but provided she gets off the arm okay, it’s hard to see her getting beaten today.

The Money Race

Race 1 ($40 worth of Flexi Trifectas)

Although Artistic Angel (7) has only had the 3 starts, they were all in APG races, firstly with a nice third in her heat before finishing sixth behind rising start Supersonic Miss in the Semi-Final and finally rounding off with a third in the consolation. Provided Awesome Cullect (6) isn’t a superstar, this race could be all about the margins but we will play a save trifecta just incase.

7/1,6/1,3,4,5,6. $24 gets 300%

6/1,7/1,3,4,5,7. $16 gets 200%

Race 8 ($40 worth of Flexi Trifectas)

Punchinello (6) was going around in some of the better 3C0 races earlier this term and running with credit so although he hasn’t trialled upon resumption, we can assume that if he is anywhere near his best then he will be very hard to defeat however Anna Faye (3) was pretty good winning on debut in Australia for Alison Chisholm and can improve so we will play the below trifectas.

6/3/1,4,7,9. $24 gets 600%

3/6/1,4,7,9. $16 gets 400%

Quaddies (x4 worth $130)

4,5,6,9,11/1,3,4,8/5,8,9/6. $40 gets 66.66%

4,5,6,9,11/1,3,4,8/5,8,9/3,4. $40 gets 33.33%

4,5,6,9,11/5,6,10/5,8,9/6. $22.50 gets 50%

4,5,6,9,11/5,6,10/5,8,9/3,4. $22.50 gets 25%




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