Friday, May 30, 2014

Good Form Preview - Friday Night @ HQ

The Game Plan for Melton– with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets / All Up  Formula 2 & 3 ($100 gets 25 units)

Lennytheshark (Race 7 No.1) $1.80 TAB Fixed Odds - Click Here to bet on this horse now.
It’s hard not to get excited with what this guy has done since returning from injury. He is a NSW Derby winner, Vic Derby heat winner and dual Vicbred Super Series Semi-Final champion but almost unbelievably he has been more visually impressive in two runs this season, albeit in lesser races. He did want to hang a little first-up but when Alford straightened him up he put a gap on them. There’s no doubt Ballarat Cup winner Restrepo (4) and speedster Chilli Palmer (9) will be serious threats but I think that Lenny could stamp himself as a star tonight.

The Good Times (Race 8 No.2) $2.80 – Click Here to bet on this horse now.
This girl really ran through the line late in the Group 1 Queen Of The Pacific when extricating off the pegs and prior to that she was a solid first-up winner at Charlton. She has flirted with being held in the absolute elite level of mares in the state for 12 or 18 months now and given her return this time in, coupled with the fact that she is third up and likely to be rock hard fit, I think she may have a little class edge on her rivals tonight.

Lazy Sunday (Race 10 No.5) $2.80  Click Here to bet on this horse now.
After beating Glenferrie Typhoon to the post on debut before losing the race on protest, this girl began well before galloping and losing 40 metres in a heat of this race.  What she did from there was extraordinary. Coming four and five wide off the back, she rattled home do go down in a blanket finish and if she lives up to the wraps tonight then she will simply be too good for her rivals.

Best Value ($15 win x $25 place)
Asoka (Race 5 No.5) $6 – Click Here to bet on this horse now.
I just love the way this guy goes about his business. He has been forced to park at his last five starts with the most recent runs yielding a win over Flaming Flutter, a third to Lennytheshark and a fourth to Chilli Palmer. Prior to that his form around Sapphire Swayze and Mister Onetwo has even stacked up. Last time he did park outside Amajorjo (4) and just touched him off on the line so given that scenario is likely to ensue again, I think he is the horse to beat.

Best Roughie ($5 win x $15 place)
Clancys Fobwatch (Race 6 No.10) $16 – Click Here to bet on this horse now.
This is the second straight week this fella has made it into the Game Plan and while many will think its heart over head after he won for us last week, I still think there is more to come for him. He won’t be able to find the lead like he did last time but he is pretty versatile and with horses such as Im Barney Rubble (11) and Astronaut (9) around him, he may just pinch a very economical trip into the race when things get serious so rate him a serious place hope and perhaps even a knockout for Quaddies.

The Money Race
Race 8 ($44 worth of Flexi Trifectas) – Click Here to bet on this race now.
As mentioned above, I really do think The Good Times (2) is going to be very hard to beat but don’t discount Hes Magic Red (3) who is a little underrated, Manuka Man (5) who is a progressive type and Gangster Boy (11). For that reason we are going to try and snag a trifecta by playing wide for third.

2/3,5,11/3,5,6,7,8,9,11. $36 gets 200%
3,5,11/2/3,5,6,7,8,9,11. $18 gets 100%

The EARLY Quaddie JACKPOT (x3 worth $90) – Click Here to bet on the Early Quaddie now.
10,11/2,3,8,12/3,5,8,13/11. $32 gets 100%
1,3,5,6/2,3,8,12/3,5,8,13/11. $32 gets 50%
10,11/2,3,8,12/3,5,8,13/4,5,6,7. $26 gets 20.3%

Quaddie (x4 worth $110) – Click Here to bet on the Quaddie now.
4,5,8,12/5,8/1/2,3,5. $36 gets 150%
4,5,8,12/2,3,4,9,10/1/2,3,5. $30 gets 50%
4,5,8,12/5,8/4,9/2,3,5. $24 gets 50%
4,5,8,12/2,3,4,9,10/4,9/2,3,5. $20 gets 16.67%

To view the sectional splits of EVERY HORSE in EVERY RACE at Melton last Friday night simply click here.

As a snapshot below, here are some of the star sectional performers at Melton last weekend.

Fastest Last Mile – Chilli Palmer: 1:54.90

Fastest Last Half – Chilli Palmer: 54.61secs
Fastest Last Quarter – Glenferrie Shuffle: 26.77secs

Sectional Superstar
Chilli Palmer (Race 7 no.9) $4 TAB Fixed Odds – Click Here to bet on this horse now.
The sectional snapshot says it all. This guy has the high speed rarely seen in a pacer so if he can reproduce some of his mind-boggling efforts of recent months then he is every chance of pulling out and making a mess of his more highly fancied rivals tonight.

Speed Maps

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