Saturday, May 31, 2014

Good Form Preview - Saturday Night @ Bray

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets / All Up ($50)
Urban Shadow (Race 2 No.1) $1.80
Punters looking for an absolute best of the night need search no further because this guy looks a class above his rivals. He should have the early toe to kick up and hold the top and he did defeat Lotsa Life three back before going down to Crazy Dave and Intergalactic since. Quite simply he should be too good tonight.

Lierre Noir (Race 5 No.9) $2.50
This is a fairly tough race but this mare is returning after a month away from the races. The last time we saw her ran ran a huge race in the HBV Silver Chalice so while she must again take on the boys tonight, her second previously to Union Belle has worked out to be pretty good form. If she is up around them early she can control the race and be very hard to toss.

Best Value ($25 win)
Desert Spur (Race 1 no.7) $4.50
This fella’s most recent start may say he was beaten 25 metres but that was behind The Boss Man who would start a $1.10 favourite in this race.  He won his three previous starts and even though he has the outside draw, he can overcome that at decent each way odds.

Best Roughie ($20 place)
Glencoe V C (Race 7 No.6) $34
After an outstanding trial, this guy started favourite on Aussie debut over Mister Onetwo, Amajorjo and co. He didn’t have a lot of luck there and then was arguably disappointing behind Chilli Palmer last time but in saying that this is a much easier race and if he gets the breaks, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him run into a place.

The Money Race ($30 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Race 4
Mister Wickham (7) has been super in two starts for Lee Evison and he would only need to remain in that sort of form to be the horse to beat here however both Be Good Juddy (5) and Justbritell (4) are snapping at his heals so we are going to play the following trifectas.

7/4,5/1,4,5,6. $24 gets 400%
4,5/7/1,4,5,6. $6 gets 100%

The EARLY Quaddies (x1 worth $85)
1,3,7,13/1/2,4,7,8,9/4,5,7. 141%

Quaddies (x2 worth $110)
4,9,10/1,2,6/1,8,11/1,2,3,9. $75 gets 69.44%
3,6,8/1,2,6/1,8,11/1,2,3,9. $35 gets 32.4%

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