Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Maryborough

The Game Plan for Maryborough – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($40 win)
Union Belle (Race 6 No.6) $3
This mare ran in a much stronger race last time and although Stormed Out (8) ran past her late, he pulled out of the one by one to have the last crack while she was three wide for the last lap. Three starts ago she defeated Lierre Noir before going down to Easy Lightning and Wheatsheaf Avaball so while today’s assignment isn’t easy from the wide barrier, I think she has the class to overcome it.

Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)
Wolfpack (Race 7 No.9) $8
Despite being beaten by 14 metres last start, that was behind Brite Spark Lombo who looks pretty smart and this guy worked to sit parked before battling on bravely in the straight for second. He just edged out the third placed runner but there was a big gap back to fourth there and prior to that he put in two pretty handy runs back from a spell at Shepparton including a win and a second so he looks over the odds today with the running line draw.

Best Roughie ($5 win x $15 place)
Beachyouthere (Race 3 No.5) $51
This fella might be winless from eight starts but his four runs since returning from a three year stint on the sidelines. He has been good in each and although beaten a fair way, was in a much stronger race last time. We won’t be breaking the bank but given he should be back to full race fitness, he can run into a place for sure in an even race.

The Money Race
Race 1 ($30 worth of Flexi Trifecta’s)
This looks a terrific opportunity for us to make some coin because Phil Monty (6) looked pretty promising in New Zealand at a lower level and since transferring across the ditch he is a trial winner for Lance Justice so must be the one to beat. If things pan out early expect It Is Ike (3) to be first down to the pegs and with Wake Up Call (1) likely to be three pegging and a little underrated, I think we can play the following combinations to success.

6/1,3/1,3. $18 gets 900%
6/1,3/5,8. $8 gets 200%
6/5,8/1,3. $4 gets 100%

Quaddie (x5 worth $110)
10/6/3,6,9,10,12,13/2,8,9. $31 gets 172%
10/6/3,6,9,10,12,13/4,6. $16 gets 133%
4,9,12/6/3,6,9,10,12,13/2,8,9. $27 gets 50%
4,9,12/6/3,6,9,10,12,13/4,6. $18 gets 50%
10/5,8/3,6,9,10,12,13/2,8,9. $18 gets 50%

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