Thursday, May 29, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Shepparton

The Game Plan for Shepparton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
It’s a very well known fact that I love punting @ Shepparton and tonight should be no different with a quality nine-race programme on offer and plenty of ways to play what looks a juicy card. I started off with a number of Best bets but pared them back to just 2, while I also ripped back my Best Roughies to the same number. The double-shot theme continues w/ our pair of Money Races but ends with the inclusion of four risky but potentially lucrative Quads.

Best Bets ($50 Win)
Sammy Charles (Race 2 no. 6) $3.40
This bloke arrives here fresh from one of the best form races imaginable where he split super Illawong pair Moonshine and Helios who have both run massive races since at Maryborough yesterday. Add to that fact the likelihood that he’ll bully his way to the front or at least sit quietly parked here and I’m confident he’s the one to beat for sure.

Bit Noisy (Race 6 no. 6) $2.90
This free-legged pacer exploded to the front in the quickest heat for this race before running along and then blasting away from his rivals’ last time out. He has always come with a bit of a quiet boom and if he reproduces his last start display tonight they will not get anywhere near him again.

Best Roughies ($5 Win x $15 Place)
Majestic Swan (Race 6 no. 8) $10
This girl is in the same race as Bit Noisy (6) and while I think she’ll be hard pressed to beat that guy I’m confident she’ll enjoy a cosy run three back the poles and give herself a huge hope of finishing on the dais at what are big odds in today’s Herald Sun.

Alina (Race 7 no. 8) $10
This mare takes on some real big guns here but she doesn’t know how to run a bad race, particularly over the mile, so throw her in the mix here and she’ll give you a run for your dough.

The Money Races
Race 1
If this race was over the 2190m I’d be almost declaring Dentona (6) but with Master Mach Manus (2) looking a good chance of bullying his way to the front I’m happy to say one of those two horses should win. Beyond that we’ll just be hoping that Sullenberger (9) doesn’t blow us out and we get some value in our tricks.

2,6/ 1,2,6,7,9/ 1,2,6,7,9. $48 gets 200%
2,6/ 1,2,6,7,9/ 5,8,10. $12 gets 50%

Race 7
This looks a super betting race where class should really come to the fore. Almost El Eagle (11) is first-up from a break but he possesses the kind of lethal point-to-point speed which should see him win here or finish second at very worst. Either way we should get some good folding so long as the other class runners here join him on the podium.

11/ 5,6,8,9/ 5,6,8,9. $60 gets 500%
5,6,8,9/ 11/ 5,6,8,9. $40 gets 333.33%

The Quads (x4 for $100)
12/ 6/ 11/ 2,3,4,5,9. $20 gets 400%
12/ 6/ 5,6,8,9/ 2,3,4,5,9. $20 gets 100%
12/ 1,2,3,8,9,10/ 11/ 2,3,4,5,9. $30 gets 100%
5,7,8,10,11,13/ 6/ 11/ 2,3,4,5,9. $30 gets 100%

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