Monday, May 26, 2014

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Warragul

The Game Plan for Warragul – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Well, I tried to live off the winnings from Barynya in the Victoria Oaks, but sadly, the well is now dry so I’ve decided to return to the Good Form team! Seriously, it’s fantastic to be back but I do wish I’d stumbled into a slightly easier meeting than today’s Warragul card which is jam packed full of tough, tricky races. Now that I’ve had my little sook the good news is I still think we can make some folding from the card by attacking 1 Best Bet, 1 Best Value and 1 Best Roughie plus a trio of Quads for $100.

Best Bet ($50 Win)
Scruffy Major (Race 3 no. 6) $2
Small fields are often fraught with danger as tempo can play a race-defining role but when you have the kind of lethal speed the above pacer does when he is on song, then it really shouldn’t matter. Be warned that he is a hit-and-miss proposition but after ripping home in 56-secs to win a recent trial at this track he can go forward or back and be too good either way.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)
Walky Talky (Race 5 no. 8) $6
I’ve always had a fair bit of time for this comeback kid and to my eye he gets things made to order tonight. Blessed with a very good turn of foot when right he looks a great chance of lobbing the gun trail behind likely leader The Smirker (1) here and having trialled encouragingly for tonight’s first-up assignment I give him a super hope of dashing by his rivals in the lane.

Best Roughie ($10 x $20)
Real Knucky (Race 4 no. 8) $14
He’s no superstar and there are only two place dividends on offer here but I just can’t ignore the $14 on offer about a horse I think will be better placed with a sit in a field lacking much genuine class. No guarantees but he’s worth a little flutter.

The Quads (x3)
1,2,7,8/ 2,3,7,10/ 1,2,4/ 4,7,9. $48 gets 33.33%
1,2,7,8/ 2,3,7,10/ 1,2,4/ 2,3,10. $28 gets 19.44%
1,2,7,8/ 6,8,9/  1,2,4/  4,7,9. $24 gets 16.67%

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