Good Form Preview - Wednesday night @ Geelong

The Game Plan for Geelong - with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)


Tonight’s card at Beckley Park looks a ripper on paper and there are two Money Races – one in particular – that I feel can yield a substantial return if we play hard and the cards fall as expected. As always we’re also having a good dig at the quads but I’ve got a feeling Race 4 will hold the key to our night!

The Money Races

Race 4
This is as good a betting race as you’re likely to see, with the best horses in the race, Doomed (1) & Goodtime Mike (8) also likely to lob the best positions (leader/behind leader) & equally likely to fight out the race. I’ve got a strong preference for Doomed (1) here and also think there are a few runners who can be ruled out as even First 4 propositions so play hard and I’m confident you’ll at least double your money.

1/ 8/ 4,9/ 4,9. $40 gets 2000%

1/ 8/ 4,9/ 5,10. $40 gets 1000%
8/ 1/ 4,9/ 4,9. $10 gets 500%
8/ 1/ 4,9/ 5,10. $10 gets 250%

Race 5

This race would be even better to play in if Hexham Heartbeat (7) hadn’t gone so poorly first up from a spell but her and Brite Spark Lombo (6) should still dominate w/ even luck and if for any reason they don’t we’ll play a saver just in case.

6,7/ 6,7/ 4,8,9. $40 gets 666.67%

6,7/ 4,8,9/ 6,7. $10 gets 166.67%

Quaddies

1/ 6,7/ 2,4,6,9/ 1,2,3,4,6,8,9,11. $80 gets 125%
8/ 6,7/ 2,4,6,9/ 1,2,3,4,6,8,9,11. $20 gets 31.25%

THE GAME PLAN for Geelong – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

BEST PLACE BET

Gohardorgohome (Race 2 no. 4)          $100 place

This bloke is no star and he has had numerous chances to win a race without success but I thought he was pretty good behind Itz Dreamin Jonesy in the Bendigo Guineas last Saturday night and with his gate speed likely to take him to the pegs first I can see Daryl Douglas handing up to Lightning Shark to ensure he gets every hope to run the drum.  I’m guessing he will be around the $2.50 mark for the place and I’m prepared to have a lash at him at those odds.  

THE MONEY RACES

Race 4

This looks a classic case of leader/behind leader here with Doomed in front and Goodtime Mike on his back and I think that is the way they will finish with Guggenheim whacking away in the breeze and almost certain to run third.  I will play hard with that trio in a straight Trifecta and also take another one with Another Elsu and Kazaree to run third just in case. We won’t get rich off this race but a reasonable profit should be made if all goes to plan.  Below is how I’m spending $100.

1/ 8/ 4.  $60 gets you 6000%

1/ 8/ 5,9.  $40 gets you 2000%

Race 5

Like the above Money Race there are only two possible winning chances here in the form of Hexham Heartbeat and Brite Spark Lombo and they really should finish 1,2 so I’m going to base some Trifectas around the pair with the remaining runners (who are all in with a shot at filling a place to varying degrees) in a number of different ways to ensure I have everything covered.  Below is how I’m spending $100.

6,7/ 6,7/ 4,8,9.  $48 gets you 800%

6,7/ 6,7/ 1,2,3,5.  $32 gets you 400%

6,7/ 4,8,9/ 6,7.  $12 gets you 200%

6,7/ 1,2,3,5/ 6,7.  $8 gets you 100%

QUADDIES X 4 $100 Total Spend

1/ 6,7/ 2/ 1,2,3,4,8,9.  $34 gets you 283.33%

1/ 6,7/ 6,7,9/ 1,2,3,4,8,9.  $36 gets you 100%

8/ 6,7/ 2/ 1,2,3,4,8,9.  $12 gets you 100%

8/ 6,7/ 6,7,9/ 1,2,3,4,8,9.  $18 gets you 50%