Thursday, May 30, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday at Hamilton

THE GAME PLAN for Hamilton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Today’s meeting is a tricky one and I can’t find a single race where we can play some exotics with confidence so I’m going back to basics and having two win bets plus a crack at the Quaddie in a number of different ways to ensure I cover all bases. 

BEST BETS

Cheap Tint (Race 5 no. 6) $2.80                          $100 win
This guy is a tough, staying type of 4YO from the Kevin Brough stable who is building up an enviable record and he should be mighty hard to roll in this second up from a break after running an encouraging second to Nassooa at Globe Derby 12 days ago where he did his share of work over the concluding stages.  Matt Craven reunites with him today, which is a big plus, as Matt has driven him to victory 5 of the 8 times he has saluted and although he will have to earn it from the wide draw I think he is still a terrific gamble.

Keayang Falcon (Race 7 no. 9) $1.80              $100 win
Classy 4YO from the Marg Lee barn who resumes from a 6-month break today off the back of a solid trial hit out from behind the tapes at Terang 11 days ago where he finished second to stable mate Keayang Steamer at the end of a 57.0 second final half.  He should get a nice run through from his trailing draw and with a bit of speed expected in the early stages I think he can run home over the top of them.

QUADDIES X 4 $100 Total Spend
1,2,3,8,9,10,11/ 6/ 2,4,8/ 9.  $25 gets you 119.14%
1,2,3,8,9,10,11/ 6/ 2,4,8/ 2,4,7.  $25 gets you 39.68%
1,2,3,8,9,10,11/ 2,4,5,7/ 2,4,8/ 9.  $25 gets you 29.76%
1,2,3,8,9,10,11/ 2,4,5,7/ 2,4,8/ 2,4,7.  $25 gets you 9.92%

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