THE GAME PLAN for Shepparton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)
Tonight’s meeting is yet another tricky one to work out and much like today at Hamilton I can’t find a race where we can play some exotics with confidence so I’m going to back a number of runners, either straight out or each way plus go nice and wide in the Quaddie because I think there is some value on offer. Here we go!
BEST BETS
Nuggets Brother (Race 2 no. 7) $2.80 $50 win
Handy 3YO who found his best form to win at Kilmore last start where he boxed on too strongly for Magic Moment Lombo and although he draws widey tonight I think Greg Sugars will press forward with him, race in or near the lead and give us a great sight.
Almost El Eagle (Race 3 no. 11) $2.50 $50 win
Above average 3YO who wasn’t at his best in the George Croxford Tribute Final at Echuca back in March behind Sokys Bigbullet and he hasn’t been to the trials to fire him up for tonight’s assignment but if he is anywhere near the mark I think he will be a shade too strong for his rivals.
Miss Polly Potts (Race 8 no. 1) $2.80 $50 win
This filly found trouble at Kilmore last start when down the track behind Raylan Gibbins but she had run handy races prior behind nice types Motor Smoker and Drunken Jeff and unless one of the debutantes are right out of the box I think she has a great chance of busting her maiden.
VALUE BETS
Fusion (Race 5 no. 8) $3.50 $15 win x $35 place
The draw could be great or not so great for this bloke as Forbidden Forest will either hold the lead from the pole, which would be ideal for our tip, or he will take the trail, which will leave our guy three-back the pegs, but no matter where he ends up I still think he is worthy of a gamble each way.
Stormed Out (Race 7 no. 8) $5 $15 win x $35 place
Similar to Fusion in Race 5, this fellow will be reliant on a slice of luck from where he is drawn but he has been very good at Melton at his past two, winning there two back and running home nicely into fourth behind Ourbellabro last time and with the right fortune and a little bit of Chris Alford magic I think he will go close.
QUADDIE
1,2,7,10,11/ 1,4,6,7,8/ 1,3,5/ 1,4,5,7,8,9,10. $100 gets you 19.04%
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