Wednesday, May 1, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night at Swan Hill

THE GAME PLAN for Swan Hill – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)


White Sands (Race 1 no. 3) $2.50    
Things get a little tricky later on but I think we can get the cash early with this bloke.  He comes off well-beaten runs behind Burra Sullivan and Flaming Flutter in heat and final of the Mildura Guineas but he wasn’t disgraced in either and he is sure to relish the massive drop back in grade tonight.  He may work to the lead, which would make him an even better thing, but even if he has to park out I still think he will be too good for these.  I’m going to have $250 on him straight out.


Centonic (Race 7 no. 8) $6.50
There is no doubt that Jamies Boy is the yardstick but I think he will have to work pretty hard for the money and it might be set up for a swooper, with this fellow the most likely candidate.  He has a devastating turn of foot when saved for one crack at them and if Dave Moran can get him into the clear at some stage in the straight watch for him to be coming at them with gusto.  I’m going to have $30 x $70 on him.


Beach Star (Race 4 no. 8) $26
This guy has only run the 1 placing from 5 starts to date, which was on this circuit three back when second to Rocky Carrington where he sat behind the speed from this very alley and tried hard at the end of a 56.3 last half.  His two runs since haven’t been too bad and at the big odds with a soft trip behind likely leader Mista Taptoe Lombo I’m going to have a little something on him and hope for a result.  I’m not going to go too crazy here, just a lazy $10 x $40 will do.

1,8,10,11/ 1,6,7,10,11/ 10,11,12/ 4,5,7,8.  $100 gets you 41.66%

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