Thursday, September 26, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Terang

The Game Plan for Terang – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
I always enjoy punting @ Terang & tonight should be no exception w/ good, even fields & a hint of class to give the programme some genuine interest. From a punting perspective, value looks the order of the night & I’ll be attacking 1 Best Bet, 1 Best Value and 1 Best Roughie along w/ 2 Money races and some Quads in order to jag a result. Good Form metrics have also begun & after three days Quaddies look the way to play given we’re running at a nice profit on that bet type so far this week.
Best Bets ($50 Win)
Our Summer Wind (Race 1 no. 1) $3.20
This bloke has not set the world on fire in two runs back from a break but he’ll be fitter at this, his third run in and he drops in grade to boot. Importantly, he should either lead or trail in transit and w/ his major danger, Willow Robyn (8), drawn in behind him, he’s certainly the one they have to beat.
Best Value ($25 Each Way)
Cee Goddess (Race 3 no. 2) $5
The start will be important for this mare because if she lobs the top as I expect then it would be a real shock to see her get run down. In fact, she’s a big winning chance even if she doesn’t get the front so the $5 looks very juicy indeed.
Best Roughie ($10 x $40)
Mayorofshinetown (Race 7 no. 11)
This guy didn’t get a heap of late racing room in a similar class of race to this last time out and his form last term was exemplary for a race of this nature. Also playing in his favour is the fact they should go quick early doors so he will be charging at the business end.
The Money Races ($50 Flexi Trifectas)
Race 1
As mentioned above, I think that Our Summer Wind (1) is the one here and if he is to be rolled then Willow Robyn (8) looks the likely offender so play the Tricks below and hope nothing outrageous happens at the start.
1,8/ 1,8/ 3,5,10. $24 gets 400%
1,8/ 3,5,10/ 1,8. $12 gets 200%
1,8/ 3,5,10/ 3,5,10 $8 gets 66.67%
1,8/ 1,8/ 4,7,9. $6 gets 100%
Race 3
2/ 1,3/ 1,3,8,9. $18 gets 300%
2/ 8,9/ 1,3,8,9. $12 gets 200%
1,3,9/ 2/ 1,3,8,9. $20 gets 222.22%
The Quads (x4)
3,4,5,6/ 1/ 2,8/ 5,6,11. $24 gets 100%
3,4,5,6/ 1/ 2,8/ 1,2,5. $12 gets 50%
3,4,5,6/ 1/ 1,3,5/ 5,6,11. $18 gets 50%
3,4,5,6/ 2,5,6,8,10/ 2,8/ 5,6,11. $46 gets 38.33%

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