Wednesday, September 4, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Terang

The Game Plan for Terang – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
The fact that there will be a second line in just two races this evening gives you a good indication of how small the fields are, yet amazingly there are multiple winning hopes in every race of the night. Thankfully there is a genuine highlight to end the programme where  several horses destined for bigger and better things will go around but from a punting perspective it’s pretty light on. In total I’m just going to target 1 Best Bet, 1 Best Value, 2 Money Races and a hopeful Quad.
Best Bet ($50 Win)
Lombo Krista Bella (Race 2 no. 2) $2.20
Like most races tonight, this one is tricky to work out, but I’ve got a bit of time for the above pacer and if she can return to her form of two stars back when smashing an OK 3YO field at Horsham I just think she’ll be a shade too good.
Best Value ($50 Win)
Cyrus (Race 7 no. 2) $4.50
As mentioned in the preamble, this race is an absolute ripper and the way I’ve got it playing out I think this guy can stay in front of his major rivals at the start (I actually have him finding the front) and from there it will take a big performance to see such a tough pacer hunted down. It is worth remembering w/ the boom around Western Rockstar (6) that this bloke spotted that horse a big margin and finished off 0.5-sec faster than him when they last met at Melton so w/ the roles reversed tonight he is the one to beat.
The Money Races
Race 2 (Flexi First 4’s for $50)
We’re going to have to play First 4’s to get anything happening here but I’m confident we’ll get some reward so long as Lombo Krista Bella (2) wins!
2/ 3,5/ 3,5/ 1,4,6. $30 gets 500%
2/ 3,5/ 1,6/ 1,3,4,5,6. $20 gets 166.67%
Race 4 (Flexi Trifectas for $50)
There are only four hopes here so we’re going to mix and match them a little to try and land some coin.
3/ 4,5,6 /4,5,6. $20 gets 333.33%
4,6/ 3,4,5,6/ 3,4,5,6. $30 gets 250%
The Quad
3,4,5,6/ 1,2,3,4,5,8/ 2,3,7/ 1,2,5,6. $100 gets 34.72%

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