Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Bray

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
I have to admit it’s something of a blessing that brand new Good Form Guru, Andrew Evans, is helping out w/ a second Game Plan tonight because I’ve rarely found a meeting more difficult to assess. That is why there’ll be no Money Races tonight & we’ll be trying to make a profit via 1 Best Bet and 3 Best Roughies along w/ 4 potentially lucrative Quads.

Best Bet ($50 Win)
Goodtime Veejay (Race 5 no. 6) $2.25
I can only hope that this guy’s last start failure behind Black Caprice will put a few punters off and we will get something like a black figure price because he was actually pretty brave there in a ballistic last half (55.6) and his prior form would suggest he’ll be way too good for these.

Best Roughies ($10 x $40)
Exotic Native (Race 1 no. 10) $11
You’ll have to hold your breath when this bloke goes around because he knocks up doing things wrong and can break your heart in a stride but if he does get it all right tonight I think he’s at least as good as anything in the race. Back him if you dare because we’ll at least have six more races to recoup the losses if he does blow it once more tonight.

Ballan Road (Race 2 no. 5) $11
This guy is not my top tip but at the juicy quote he has plenty in his favour. A quick beginner, he’ll be in the firing line early and given he’s ultra-consistent and ran a cracking race behind Will Atone last time I’m more than willing to have something Each way on here tonight.

Bubble Art (Race 7 no. 1) $26
We’re probably relying far more on the $40 Place Bet than the $10 Win here as this bloke DOES NOT win out of turn but he is an absolute stand start specialist who will lead for as long as he likes before hopefully handing up to an appropriate rival. It’s not the strongest race of all time and w/ so many stand start novices engaged he could lob the soft trip and finish on the podium at pretty big odds.

Quaddies (x4)
2/ 6/ 1,4,5,9/ 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,10. $56 gets 175%
2/ 6/ 8,10/ 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,10. $8 gets 50%
5,7/ 6/ 1,4,5,9/ 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,10. $32 gets 50%
5,7/ 6/ 8,10/ 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,10. $4 gets 12.5%

The Game Plan for Ballarat with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV)
Best Bet ($50 Win)
(Race 2 No 1 Tribal Fella) $3.75
This guy broke in the score up last start and was well out of position at the start when trying for three wins in a row. Whilst he was never a factor in the race he did a really good job to finish in fourth spot and from his draw tonight he can use his gate speed and should get an ideal run.

Best Value ($25 E/W)
(Race 6 No 5 Action Kosmos) $6
This bloke has been in great form over the last couple of months cashing a cheque at his last four starts. He is a good beginner from the strands and will be a big chance of finding the top again and at $6 looks a great each way bet.

The Money Races
Race 3 ($50 Flexi First Four’s)
5/ 6,8/ 2,6,7,8/ 2,4,6,7,8 $25 gets 138%
6,8/ 5/ 2,6,7,8/ 2,4,6,7,8 $25 gets 138%

Race 4 ($50 Flexi Trifectas)
2/ 7/ 1,3,4,5,6 $35 gets 700%
2/ 1,3,4,5,6/ 7 $15 gets 300%

Quaddie (x8)
2/ 6/ 1,4,5,9/ 10 $20 gets 500%
2/ 6/ 1,4,5,9/ 3,4,6,8 $20 gets 125%
2/ 1,5,9/ 1,4,5,9/ 3,4,6,8 $20 gets 41.67%
2/ 1,5,9/ 1,4,5,9/ 10 $20 gets 166.67%
7/ 6/ 1,4,5,9/ 10 $5 gets 125%
7/ 6/ 1,4,5,9/ 3,4,6,8 $5 gets 31.25%
7/ 1,5,9/ 1,4,5,9/ 10 $5 gets 41.67%
7/ 1,5,9/ 1,4,5,9/ 3,4,6,8 $5 gets 10.42%










No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.