Monday, September 23, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Charlton

The Game Plan for Charlton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Call me ambitious but I think today’s Charlton meeting is littered w/ winning opportunities and looks like a mini-goldmine from a punting perspective. The cornerstone of my Game Plan for the day will be three Best Bets but I’m also very keen on two Money Races, an Exotic Speed Map Special, one roughie and some Quads. We’ll need to spend a bit but I’d be very surprised if we don’t walk away WELL in front.

Best Bets ($40 Win)
Desiring Kate (Race 2 no. 2) $3.25
To my mind, this young mare has been driven completely upside down at her past couple from ordinary draws and if she’s able to drop in behind My Lishi (1) follow her around and come with one home-stretch run I’d be surprised if she didn’t win the race.

Guvs Boy (Race 5 no. 5) $3.25
In a race almost devoid of gate speed and equally bereft of pressure I can see this guy pinging to the front and being left alone to dictate terms from there. He is not the strongest customer going around so if things don’t pan out to plan he’ll be vulnerable but if they do he should go wire-to-wire.

Stonethachristian (Race 8 no. 1) $2.90
I am always dubious about Swan Hill form where C1 pacers can rip home in FFA sections but I’ve always liked this guy and he was super brace around that velodrome racecourse last time out. The key tonight will be whether or not he holds the top. If he does I think he’s almost over the line but if he doesn’t then he’ll need some serious luck.

Best Roughie ($10 x $20)
Elle Jasper (Race 7 no. 11) $15
This girl is much better suited when drawing the front line where she can use her awesome early speed but having said that, she is the class runner who will only need a very possible early speed war and a cart into the race to prove a shade too good. Don’t go nuts but make sure you have something on.

The Money Races
Race 2 ($50 Flexi Trifectas)
2/ 1,5/ 1,3,5. $28 get 700%
1/ 2,5/ 2,3,5. $16 gets 400%
5/ 1,2/ 1,2,3. $6 gets 150%

Race 6 ($100 Flexi Trifectas)
2/ 1,9/ 1,9. $40 gets 2000%
2/ 1,9/ 4,8. $40 gets 1000%
2/ 1,9/ 5,7,11. $20 gets 333.33%

Exotic Speed Map Special
Race 8 ($50 Flexi Trifectas)
1/ 8/ 2,3,5,6,11,12. $24 gets 400%
1/ 2,3,5,6,11,12/ 8. $18 gets 200%
8/ 1/ 2,3,5,6,11,12. $8 gets 133.33%

The Quads (x3)
1/ 5/ 2/ 2,3,5,8,9,10,11. $23 gets 328.57%
1/ 3,6,8,9/ 2/ 2,3,5,8,9,10,11. $42 gets 150%
3,4,5,6,7/ 5/ 2/ 2,3,5,8,9,10,11. $35 gets 100%

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