Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Geelong

The Game Plan for Geelong – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
It’s becoming a familiar theme in recent days, but I simply cannot find one going around at Beckley Park tonight that I’d have my last $100 on so I’m going to be playing for value instead with  four strong Each way players along w/ a Money Race, three Quads and a couple of Black Bookers who are close to breaking through.

Best Value ($25 Each Way
Clipper (Race 1 no. 8) $7
I think it’s fair to say that this bloke was only serviceable first-up from a break but he possesses his far share of talent and even from the awkward gate eight draw I think he’s the one to beat here w/ Puppet in the cart.

Big Bang Penny (Race 1 no. 10) $5.50
Time and time again we see 3YO pacers take on the older horses in lowly assessed events and prove to classy by a space. The above filly is no superstar but she certainly has a CO win in her somewhere and there’s no reason why it won’t be tonight.

Charliesbaby (Race 2 no. 2) $7
A quick beginner in the peak of her form, this mare is no certainty here but if she strolls to the top early on she can either shoot for an all-the-way win or hand up to an appropriate rival in transit. Either way she should go close and the $7 in today’s paper looks very juicy indeed.

Hermione (Race 7 no. 8) $7
This mare has always had metropolitan class ability courtesy of her blistering 250m sprint. She’ll need a stack of luck to win tonight against some pretty handy pacers, headed by Cyrus (2) but if she sees daylight late she’ll be storming home for sure.

The Money Race – Race 1
It’s fair to suggest from my best value bets that I’m half-potting Jack Kelly (2) here and crossing fingers that either Clipper (8) or Big Bang Penny (10) can win. The plan is pretty conservative but if one of our top two Tricks lob we will show a more-than-handy return.

8,10/ 2,8,10/ 2,8,10. $13 gets 325%
8,10/ 2,8,10/ 3,4,6,7,11. $30 get 150%
2/ 8,10/ 8,10. $2 gets 100%
2/ 8,10/ 3,4,6,7,11. $5 gets 50%

Quaddies
7,9,10,11,12/ 3,5/ 1,5,6,7,9,11,12/ 2,3,8. $63 gets 30%
7,9,10,11,12/ 1,6/ 1,5,6,7,9,11,12/ 2,3,8. $21 gets 10%
7,9,10,11,12/ 7,12/ 1,5,6,7,9,11,12/ 2,3,8. $16 gets 7.62%

Black Bookers (Racing Today)
Peace Of Magic (Race 4 no. 7) $7
This guy has thrived on being driven cold in transit before roaring home in recent runs and if he can replicate his last two Cranbourne runs tonight then he’s another Each Way option and pretty handy odds. Click here to view his most recent run.

Hermione (Race 7 no. 8) $7
We’ve already discussed this very talented mare above and while her formline says she was beaten into 8th last time out, she would nearly have won if things had gone to plan so follow her again tonight as she may be in for a pretty big campaign. Click here to view her most recent run.

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