Thursday, August 29, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Hamilton

The Game Plan for Hamilton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Hamilton is yet another one of Victoria’s genuine state-of-the-art tracks where they run sizzling time, particularly for their final halves. I really like today’s meeting as I think there are two very solid Best Bets we can couple in an All-Up plus a couple of great value players we can attack on an Each way basis. I’m also very keen on some Quads today and w/ several hopes in each leg we may get a fairly healthy result.

Best Bets/All-Up
One Wise Man (Race 2 no. 5) $2
This should be a case of lead and win. I know his winning record is far from outstanding and I usually shy away from horses who’ve saluted twice in 30 starts but he is very genuine and over the short course with a lack of obvious pressure this looks his to lose.

Maorisfavouritesun (Race 3 no. 7) $2.20
I’m not sure what price they’ll be opening this outstanding prospect at but as long as it’s not super silly I’ll be taking it. Put simply, he can still make mistakes in his races but if he does everything right they won’t see which way he went, even off the 30m handicap here today.

Best Value
Lockins Art (Race 4 no. 3) $17
This guy has a very ordinary figure formline but he’s actually not going too badly all things considered and given he looks your likely leader over the short course in a race where it’s hard to find either pressure or dangerous swoopers I’m more than happy to back him Each way here for sure. He also boasts by far the quickest mile rate for the distance of 1:56.4 so back him at the odds.

Cheesy Grin (Rave 7 no. 7) $6.50
I love situations where a horse starts at $1.60 one week, like this bloke did last time out, they fail for whatever reason and then open up at bloated odds the very next week. It’s important to note that while he didn’t win last time out he wasn’t too bad either and given his roughish pacing action he’ll thrive coming back to this wonderful track where he’s unbeaten in two runs to date.

1,3,5,10,12/ 4,6,7/ 4,6,8,9/ 1,6,7,9. $60 gets 25%
1,3,5,10,12/ 1,8,9,10,11/ 4,6,8,9/ 1,6,7,9. $40 gets 10%

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