Monday, August 26, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Warragul

The Game Plan for Warragul – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Today’s meeting at Warragul is a tough way to start the final week of what has been an extraordinary season but the generally small fields should ensure that most horses get their chance to win. It is a day where I’d prefer to have something Each Way on a few runners at an OK price than put my faith in anything at red figure odds while also having a good dip at the Quads as per usual.

Best Value ($20 Each Way)
Lady Taras Bulba (Race 4 no. 3) $5
This mare did improve her stocks with an excellent win on Friday night at Melton but the main reason I want a piece of her is that I can see Western Rockstar (1) starting very short on the back of his super first-up win for Andy Gath and he’s just the kind of horse you always want to take on if you can. That’s not to say he won’t blow these away, but as a punter I want to pick one to beat him and the nice mare above is clearly the major threat today.

Walky Talky (Race 6 no. 8) $4
Prior to heading for a break this bloke was racing in pretty good company and his second-up effort when darting through along the sprit lane and only beaten by Mor Laag, who had all the momentum wide out on the track, was very encouraging indeed. He’ll probably have to wait for the sprint lane again here but this field is not strong and he should go close with even luck in transit.

Alina (Race 7 no. 4) $5
This is a tricky one, because the above mare has very limited gate speed and that can be a huge issue on this circuit but due to that fact we may get better odds than we’d otherwise expect. Simply put, she is better than her rivals here today and if the speed is genuine and she gets her chance to wind up at them late, they should not hold her out and the $5 will look juicy indeed,

Quaddies (x2)
1,3/ 6,9/ 2,4,5,8/ 1,2,4,5,8. $80 gets 100%
5,6/ 6,9/ 2,4,5,8/ 1,2,4,5,8. $20 gets 25%

Star Triallers
Little Bit Sassy (Race 8 no. 3) $3.50
This daughter of Grinfromeartoear has had four trials in preparation for her debut but it was her most recent hit-out when finishing close-up behind Holdonsu in a 59-sec final half that recommends her most strongly for today’s very winnable assignment.



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