Thursday, August 1, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Geelong


The Game Plan for Geelong – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
I’ve had a really detailed look at this card and think it’s the best meeting of the week on which to snare some folding. As a result, we’re going to attack it w/ full force, targeting three Best Bets, one Value Bet, one Roughie, one Money Race and some Quads!

Best Bets/ All-Up/ Formula 2
I’ll be dividing $125 up here between a $50 All-Up and a $25 Formula 2 worth $75.

Courageousnquick (Race 1 no. 1) $1.90
This filly, who’s often been accused of being very quick but not quite so courageous, was slightly disappointing on face value last time out but from the draw here she should lead them around and with a lack of genuine class or pressure engaged I think she’ll prove a class above.

Gypsy Babe (Race 3 no. 4) $1.70
If you were to target just one genuine moral right across the programme I think it would be this girl as she looks a 90% chance of working her way to the lead and from there I can’t see how they’ll possibly mow her down. She did pull badly last start but this is a very different race and I’d be surprised if she played up twice in a row.

Bettor Believe It (Race 6 no. 11) $1.90
Classy and consistent, I just think this lovable mare has something on her rivals here and whether she has to go it alone three-wide or she gets a cart into the race I’m confident she’ll be winning with any luck today.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)
Jewel Castle (Race 2 no. 9) $3.50
This little Raceapacer filly just had to do a little too much work last start but she has had a terrific season and in a race where there’s question marks over a few of her rivals I’m prepared to stick with the the local if her paper quote (or better) holds true.

Best Roughie ($10 by $40)
Modern Max (Race 5 no. 6) $12
Don’t break the bank here but if you’re looking for one at double figure odds, then entertain the thought of backing this bloke, who has been better than he might appear on paper in two runs for David Aiken so far in Vic.

The Money Race – Race 3
As previously mentioned, I think Gypsy Babe (4) has this race on toast and from a punting perspective the race may be a goldmine since her main dangers should be behind the leader and three pegs in transit. Have a crack at the below First 4’s and you may land a pretty big prize.

4/ 1,8/ 1,8/ 2,5,7,9. $36 gets 450%
4/ 1,8/ 2,5/ 1,8. $8 gets 200%
4/ 1,8/ 2,5/ 2,5,7,9. $6 gets 50%

Quaddies (x3)
3/ 3,4,6,7,8,9/ 11/ 1,3,7,8,9. $60 gets 200%
3/ 3,4,6,7,8,9/ 4,5,10,12/ 1,3,7,8,9. $20 gets 20%
4,6,8,12/ 3,4,6,7,8,9/ 11/ 1,3,7,8,9. $20 gets 20%


Sectionals

To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 3YO fillies run at Ballarat on Wednesday July 24, simply click here.
To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 3YO colts and geldings run at Kilmore on Thursday July 25, simply click here.

To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown repechages for 2YO’s run at Ballarat on Tuesday July 30, simply click here.

To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 2 & 3YO Trotters, run at Maryborough on Monday July 29, simply click here.

To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 2YO colts and geldings run at Bendigo on Tuesday July 23, simply click here.

To view the sectional splits of every horse engaged in the Breeders Crown heats for 2YO fillies run at Shepparton on Saturday July 20, simply click here.

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