Thursday, August 15, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ HQ

The Game Plan for Melton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
The Breeders Crown Series continues at Tabcorp Park today with consolations comprising six of the afternoon’s eight races.

Best Bet
In Runaway Bay (Race 3 no. 3) $1.60 ($50 Win)
Billy and Michael Muscat have taken Victoria by storm during this ABC carnival and while this isn’t a Breeders Crown consolation the above 2YO showed more than enough when travelling wide for the final 600m and flattening out late like a very good last start to suggest that he’ll be taking this out at shortish odds today.

Best Value
Indulgent (Race 7 no. 5) $5.50
I’m actually hoping that this bloke gets out to a longer price than the $5.50 I marked him at in today’s Herald Sun because, for whatever reason, he is perpetually underrated by punters. After battling on bravely despite travelling three-wide the entirety behind Keayang Steamer last Sunday he’ll relish the drop in grade that this race represents and should be worth a decent Each way whack.

The Money Race – Race 5
If you’re only having one bet all afternoon I strongly suggest you make it in this race. Put simply, Modern Mary (3) should cross over and find the front in a heartbeat with Paintball (1) sitting hard on her back. Both horses will relish their racing positions and the class of this event so I’d be shocked if they didn’t dominate proceeding with Whispering Lass (9) a huge chance of completing the peg-line Trifecta.

1,3/ 1,3/ 9. $40 gets 2000%
1,3/ 1,3/ 2,4,5,10. $40 gets 500%
1,3/ 9/ 1,3. $10 gets 500%
1,3/ 2,4,5,10/ 1,3. $10 gets 125%

Quaddies (x2)
2/ 1,3/ 1,3,5,8/ 1,3,5,7. $64 gets 200%
1,4,8/ 1,3/ 1,3,5,8/ 1,3,5,7. $36 gets 37.5%

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