Good Form Saturday - Double Shot @ Bray

The Game Plans for Ballarat

Bill ‘Hutchy’ Hutchison (@Hutchysays)

Bookmaker, broadcaster & enduring harness legend Bill ‘Hutchy’ Hutchison has a singular philosophy on the punt: play for value. After decades of framing markets, Hutchy rarely falls into short-priced favourites and his massive, nationwide following will attest to the form genius’ uncanny ability to uncover value on an eerily regular basis.

 

Today, Hutchy joins the Good Form team in a permanent role, with his Game Plans now appearing every Wednesday and Saturday and his thoughts on punting a regular feature of the blog.

Below is how he’s playing @ Bray Raceway tonight!

Best Bet

Mister Independent (Race 6 no. 4) ($2.50)

As mentioned above, I’m not into declaring short priced favourites but I’m confident this guy would have beaten Stoned On Jazz last start if he’d applied more pressure in the run & while his record of two wins from 20 starts doesn’t look flash I reckon he’s got the potential to be a real quality trotter.

Best Value

Isabella Delacour (Race 1 no. 2) ($12)

My modus operandi is finding horses at better odds than they should be and this mare certainly fits the bill. She drew the second line, was forced wide & stuck on strongly last start and given she draws the front line this time around the double-figure quote seems generous indeed.

Mickey Mac (Race 5 no. 9) ($10)

One of the veteran members of the Emma Stewart team, this bloke produced a pretty good run in a strong stand start affair at Melton last time out and with Gavin Lang in the cart he should get every possible chance here. Don’t leave him out of your Quaddies tonight.

Quick Armbro (Race 9 no. 5) ($7)

He has been going great guns opposing much better fields than what he meets tonight. Importantly, he also draws to find the lead here and he’ll be awfully difficult to beat if he finds the top.

Best Roughie

Rodrigo (Race 7 no. 8)

Former Kiwi pacer Kotare Roland is nearly a good thing in the feature race of the night but I still advise punters to respect Rodrigo. A sit-sprint specialist with more than his fair share of ability, he draws for a soft trip and will only need some luck when it matters to figure in the finish.

Quaddie

2,6/ 2,4,9/ 4,7,8,10,11/ 1,3,8,9. $100 gets 83.33%.

Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

Best Trifectas

Looks a favourite’s night with a number of short-priced commodities so I think the best way to extract some cash out of the meeting is via Trifectas. I’ve isolated four races in which to play and I’ll be spending $50 on each for a total outlay of $200.

Race 2

11,12/ 11,12/ 1,4,5,6,8,9.  $38 gets you 316.66%
11,12/ 1,4,5,6,8,9/ 11,12.  $12 gets you 100%

Race 4

2/ 5,6/ 5,6,8.  $50 gets you 1250%

Race 7

3/ 5/ 1,8,9,10,11.  $15 gets you 300%
3/ 1,8,9,10,11/ 5.  $15 gets you 300%
1,5,9,11/ 3/ 1,5,8,9,10,11.  $20 gets you 100%

Race 8

7/ 2,3,4,5/ 2,3,4,5.  $40 gets you 333.33%
3,4,5/ 7/ 2,3,4,5/ 2,3,4,5.  $10 gets you 111.111%

Quaddies (x4)

2/ 2,4,5,6,8,9/ 4/ 3,5.  $50 gets you 416.66%

2/ 2,4,5,6,8,9/ 4/ 1,9,11.  $20 gets you 111.11%
2/ 2,4,5,6,8,9/ 6,7,11/ 3,5.  $15 gets you 41.66%
2/ 2,4,5,6,8,9/ 6,7,11/ 1,9,11.  $15 gets you 27.77%

BLACK BOOKERS – (Racing Tonight)

Mister Sheedy (Race 7 no. 5) ($3.50)

Was game in defeat behind Kotare Roland in his heat of tonight’s final after parking out first up from a break and will benefit greatly from the outing. He was sharpened up for this with a solid trial here last Monday night and expect this guy to be up on the pace making a real race of it with the favourite. Click here to view the run.

American Muscle (Race 7 no. 9) ($8)

He has looked awesome in both wins back from a break with his all-the-way heat success over Mister Onetwo 9 days ago a good pointer for tonight’s final. He is much better suited when he can lead, which won’t happen tonight, but he will get a nice run through early and looms as the upset material. Click here to view the run.

STAR TRIALLERS – (Racing Tonight)

Bit Of A Babe (Race 2 no. 12) ($2)

Mixed it with some of the best fillies around last season and looks ready to go first up after winning a trial on this circuit comfortably last Monday, finishing off in 27.9. She has the extreme gate over the sprint trip to contend with, plus a worthy foe in Pressplay, but her class should take her a long way towards winning this. 

Hung Jury (Race 5 no. 4) ($3.50)

Resumes from a break tonight off the back Geelong and Melton trial victories in recent weeks and this more than handy 7YO looks primed for a first up kill. He normally leaves the mobile well, will be looking for a forward position and in a race of numerous chances he is worthy of an investment fresh.

BLACK BOOKERS – (Melton Last Night)

In Monaco

Came from well back and was the widest runner on straightening when fast-finishing fifth to Well Hello Dolly at the end of a 56.2 final half. He is much better suited off the front row and with that run sure to benefit him he is one to follow when he gets into a winnable affair. Click here to view the run.

Vinni Gambino

Was noted making up plenty of ground out wide on the track from the rear when fifth to Astral Flight and would have run a slippery last quarter. He is no star but he looks certain to bust his metropolitan maiden status in the not too distant future in a low-grade M0 from a favourable draw. Click here to view the run.