Good Form Friday - Dirty Dozen @ Tabcorp Park

THE GAME PLAN for Melton

Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

                         

The Money Races

I think we can get the cash early with Races 1 and 2 looking like easy kills and worth a decent crack through Trifectas and first fours. Below is how I’m playing with $100 spent on each race with a total outlay of $200.   

Race 1

Trifecta: 8,12/ 8,12/ 5.  $20 gets you 1000%

Trifecta: 8,12/ 8,12/ 1,6,9.  $30 gets you 500%

First Four: 8,12/ 8,12/ 5/ 1,6,9.  $30 gets you 500%

First Four: 8,12/ 8,12/ 1,6,9/ 5.  $20 gets you 333.33%

Race 2

Trifecta: 2/ 1/ 7.  $20 gets you 2000%

Trifecta: 2/ 1/ 3,4,5,8,9,12.  $30 gets you 500%

First Four: 2/ 1/ 7/ 3,4,5,8,9,12.  $30 gets you 500%

First Four: 2/ 1/ 3,4,5,8,9,12/ 7.  $20 gets you 333.33%

Best Bet

Mister Sheedy (Race 5 no. 10) ($3)

This bloke was heavily backed at Ballarat last start but after getting back in the run he was never in the hunt and only battled into sixth spot behind Kotare Roland.

He is much better driven tough, as indicated by his game second to Kotare Roland here prior and with the breeze his likely position tonight expect him to bounce back. 

Quaddies (x2)

6,11,13/ 10/ 13/ 2,4,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,14.  $33 gets you 100%

6,11,13/ 5,8,9,11,13/ 13/ 3,5,6,9,11.  $67 gets you 40.60%

Big6’s (x 2)

1,7,9,11/ 6,11,13/ 10/ 13/ 2,4,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,14/ 6,11,13.  $33 gets you 8.33%

1,7,9,11/ 6,11,13/ 5,8,9,11,13/ 13/ 2,4,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,14/ 6,11,13.  $67 gets you 3.38%

Hutchy’s Double-Shot (@Hutchysays)

Best Bet

El Paco (Race 9 no. 6) ($2.20)

I simply love betting on the trotters and I’m pretty well at ease with the idea that this bloke will be too good for his rivals so stay patient, wait for 9.24pm and get involved with him

Best Value

Alabama Skeeta (Race 7 no.8) ($17)

Another trotter here and this time it’s one that rated 1:56.6 for his last mile (see Wednesday’s sectional times) winning here last weekend. That form is good enough to see him go very close here so the $17 in today’s Herald Sun looks pretty juicy.

Tabcorp Park Trainer Talk

Tim Butt

Best Chance

My Temudjin (Race 2 no. 2) ($1.30)

“He’s quite a nice horse in New Zealand. He’s up the grades a fair bit back home so he comes in terrifically well in the handicapping over here. I haven’t trained him before but if I can get him going as well as the last people then he’s two grades below Grand Circuit status, he’s a M2 sort of horse in New Zealand.”

Askmenow (Race 3 no. 9) ($2.50)

“She’s a nice filly. She showed a little bit as a 2YO but she wasn’t in the top half dozen in New Zealand. We like her though and she’ll be heading to the Gold Chalice on the 21^st so tonight will give us a good guide as to just how well she’s going.

Im Noddy (Race 4 no. 11) ($3)

“He’s just a horse. We’ll play around and see where he gets to but he’s not going to set the world on fire. If he can get as far as winning an MO we’d be very happy so tonight’s a good start to see if that’s in his future.”

BLACK BOOKER (Racing Tonight)

Vinni Gambino (Race 5 no. 2) ($12)

Drew poorly here last week and was noted making up many lengths out wide on the track in a slick last half when fifth to Astral Flight in M0 company. He gets back to a C3-C5 tonight and although he does take on some handy ones he has a decent draw this time around and is not without an upset chance. Click here to view the run.

STAR TRIALLERS (Racing Tonight)

Flaming Flutter (Race 1 no. 8) ($2.10)

Raced with distinction in elite company last season and he resumes from a break tonight off the back of a soft trial victory at Melton last Monday night. He has the awkward gate to contend with, not to mention a flying Our Missionary Man, but with the right luck in running he should go very close first up. Click here to view his latest trial.

Nikkis Delight (Race 3 no. 1) ($6)

Showed some talent last term and she should be ready to run a race first up after trialling well at Ballarat late last month and on this circuit last Monday night. She draws perfectly in barrier 1 and has the gate speed to make full use of the draw so whether in front or just off the pace she will be a force at each way odds. Click here to view her latest trial.

Silent Prowl (Race 5 no. 11) ($4)

Ran a PB of 1:54.7 on this track prior to going for a break and he limbered up for this with a trial placing on this circuit 18 days ago where he finished off well in a 57.9 final half. There is every chance he will have to do the bullocking work out three-wide on the track with a lap to travel, which isn’t really his go, but he still should be a threat. Click here to view his latest trial.

Click here to bet on tonight's meeting