Saturday, December 22, 2012

Good Form Preview - Double shot @ Quest

THE GAME PLANS for Shepparton

Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

Best Bet

Gumdrops (Race 7 no. 11) ($3.50)
Didn’t have much luck at Cranbourne last start when sixth to Jasmine Sheffield but she was super winning at Stawell and Maryborough prior coming with one dash at them. She has the extreme gate over the short course tonight but there should be some pace early on and if she is within striking distance on the turn I doubt they will hold her out.

The Money Race (Race 9)
 
It’s a little scary pinning all your hopes on a $1500 3YO or older for horses with no lifetime wins race but Sealed Package and Say Cheese look much better than their rivals. That pair really should run 1,2 with any of the remaining runners a chance of filling third or fourth so I’m hoping for a few roughies to fill those spots and playing this way for $100 total spend.

Trifecta: 5,9/ 5,9/ Field. $28 gets you 155.55%
First Four: 5,9/ 5,9/ Field/ Field. $72 gets you 50%

Quaddies (x4)

3,7/ 9,10,12/ 10/ 5,8,10,11.  $45 gets you 187.5%
3,7/ 1,2,4,6,7,8/ 10/ 5,8,10,11.  $45 gets you 93.75%
5,6/ 9,10,12/ 10/ 5,8,10,11.  $5 gets you 20.83%
5,6/ 1,2,4,6,7,8/ 10/ 5,8,10,11.  $5 gets you 10.41%

Bill Hutchison (@Hutchysays)

As per usual I’ve scoured this meeting for value and found three horses worth following on a reasonably tough night.

Illawong Bill (Race 5 no. 9) ($6)

He looked good on debut at Kilmore before a luckless run in a strong field then missed away from the stand at Melton last time out. This is his first run from the mobile but he is a likely type who will be suited by the favourable trailing draw.

Major Megs (Race 6 no. 3) ($8)

Lennytheshark (10) stands out form his rivals on class but he wasn’t super impressive despite winning first up at Yarra Valley. For that reason this guy looks a good Each Way bet, He was unbeaten as a juvenile then worked hard to find the lead before being cut down late first up. He is a trial winner since so should be near his best.

Red Hot Chilli (Race 8 no. 2) ($3.50)

A talented trotter in good form she looks the other value bet of the night, although she may start favourite from the handy draw.

Quaddie

3,5,6,7/ 2,4,9,10,12/ 3,10/ 5,8,11. $100 gets 83.33%.
 

BLACK BOOKER – (Racing Tonight)

Aldebaran Turnpike (Race 3 no. 2) $3.70
Would have gone very close to winning at Melton last time had she not have made an error shortly after the start and can make amends tonight if she trots throughout. Click here to view the run.

STAR TRIALLERS

Blitzsuzy (Race 2 no. 3) $3
Blissfull Hall filly on debut for Tim McGuigan who appears talented as she is unbeaten at the trials and is worthy of a gamble first up from the nice draw

Bellas Delight (Race 4 no. 7) $2.10
Top class mare resuming from a break and she should be extremely hard to beat tonight going on her latest trial success at Kilmore over Hall Of Famer.

Sealed Package (Race 9 no. 9) $1.90
Not dangerous in two starts earlier this year behind smart types Born Again Sassy and Our Walden Bury but he trialled nicely here recently and will take beating first up. Click here to view his latest
trial.

BLACK BOOKERS – (Melton Last Night)

Pressplay
Flashed home along the pegs in the straight for an eye-catching third to Dieing Secret in the Gold Chalice and will be a factor in some of the better fillies’ races later this season.  Click here to view the run.

Our Blackbird
Ducked and weaved between runners in the stretch to run a most unlucky second to Ubringthedrinks in good time and although he is on a tough mark he should win one very soon. Click here to view the run.

 

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