Thursday, December 20, 2012

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Sunraysia


THE GAME PLAN for Mildura – with Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

The Money Races
Really like the look of Races 3,4,6 and 8 from an exotics point of view and think there is some decent coin to be made with the right results. Below is how I’m playing with $50 spent on each race for a total outlay of $200.

Race 3
Trifecta: 4,6/ 4,6/ 1,7. $17 gets you 425%
Trifecta: 4,6/ 1,7/ 4,6. $8 gets you 200%
First Four: 4,6/ 4,6/ 1,7/ 1,7. $17 gets you 425%
First Four: 4,6/ 1,7/ 4,6/ 1,7. $8 gets you 200%

Race 4
Trifecta: 7/ 1,3,4,5/ 1,3,4,5. $17 gets you 141.66%
Trifecta: 1,3,5/ 7/ 1,3,4,5. $8 gets you 88.88%
First Four: 7/ 1,3,4,5/ 1,3,4,5/ Field. $17 gets you 35.71%
First Four: 1,3,5/ 7/ 1,3,4,5/ Field.  $8 gets you 22.22%

Race 6
Trifecta: 4,6/ 4,6/ 1,2,3,5,7. $17 gets you 170%
Trifecta: 4,6/ 2,5,7/ 4,6. $8 gets you 133.33%
First Four: 4,6/ 4,6/ 1,2,3,5,7/ 1,2,3,5,7. $17 gets you 42.5%
First Four: 4,6/ 2,5,7/ 4,6/ 1,2,3,5,7. $8 gets you 33.33%

Race 8
Trifecta: 9/ 2,8/ 2,8. $15 gets you 750%
First Four: 9/ 2,8/ 2,8/ 1,3,7. $15 gets you 250%
First Four: 9/ 2,8/ 1,3,7/ 2,8. $20 gets you 333.33%

Quaddies (x4)
7/ 3,5,6/ 4,6/ 2.  $30 gets you 500%
7/ 3,5,6/ 2,5,7/ 2.  $25 gets you 277.77%
1,3,5/ 3,5,6/ 4,6/ 2.  $30 gets you 166.66%
1,3,5/ 3,5,6/ 2,5,7/ 2.  $15 gets you 55.55%

STAR TRIALLER

Givsirabone (Race 1 no. 6) $1.70
Made errors at both runs this time and was sent back to the trials to mend his ways, which it appears he has going on his victory on this circuit 9 days ago where he slipped home in 57. 
He has the wide gate to overcome over the short course but he has loads of ability and would win this comfortably if he did everything right.

BLACK BOOKER – (Geelong Last Night)

Narre Boy
Busted loose of a pocket on the turn and really hit the line hard at the end of a 28.2 final quarter for a terrific second to the smart Metro Mike. Ross Sugars has the bloke absolutely flying at present and he looks destined to race through the grades this time in and may even make a metro horse. Click here to view the run.


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