Good Form Preview - Ballarat Boxing Night

THE GAME PLANS for Ballarat

Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

The Money Races

Really like the look of the second half of tonight’s card and I’m keen to get involved with some trifectas.  I’m spending $100 on each race for a total outlay of $400, but you can scale the bets down to suit your budget if you wish.

Race 4

Think Mister Sheedy will do enough to hold the lead from the pole and he should get home thereafter with Im Barney Rubble looking the one to anchor trifectas around but I’m also playing wider just in case that bloke doesn’t fire first up.

Trifecta: 1/ 7/ 3,4,5,8.  $20 gets you 500%

Trifecta: 1/ 3,4,5,8/ 7.  $20 gets you 500%

Trifecta: 1/ 3,4,5,7,8/ 3,4,5,7,8.  $60 gets you 300%

Race 5

Barkers Hall looks like having the necessary speed to get to the lead from his wide draw and shouldn’t miss the top two so I’m playing the below trifectas with him to win or run second.

Trifecta: 7/ 3,4,5/ 1,3,4,5,6,8,11.  $64 gets you 355.55%

Trifecta: 3,4,5/ 7/ 1,3,4,5,6,8,11.  $36 gets you 200%

Race 6

Foldem and Now Shezaterror are the ones to beat here with Be Cool a clear third pick so I’m going skinny with a trifecta with that trio to dominate and taking another with a few others to fill third spot as a backup plan.

Trifecta: 1,7/ 1,7,11/ 1,7,11.  $40 gets you 1000%

Trifecta: 1,7/ 1,7,11/ 2,3,4,8,9,10.  $60 gets you 250%

Race 7

My speed map has Mister Grizzly finding the pegs first before handing up to Decorated Jasper and if that scenario unfolds I really doubt they will beat him but I’m also having a saver with main dangers Saint Flash and Melpark Major just in case.

Trifecta: 6/ 3,4,7/ 2,3,4,7.  $80 gets you 888.88%

Trifecta: 4,7/ 6/ 2,3,4,7.  $20 gets you 333.33%

Quaddiesx8 (Octoquad)

1/ 7/ 1,7/ 6.  $20 gets you 1000%

1/ 7/ 1,7/ 4,7.  $15 gets you 375%

1/ 3,4,5/ 1,7/ 6.  $15 gets you 250%

1/ 3,4,5/ 1,7/ 4,7.  $10 gets you 83.33%

3,5,7/ 7/ 1,7/ 6.  $10 gets you 166.66%

3,5,7/ 7/ 1,7/ 4,7.  $10 gets you 83.33%

3,5,7/ 3,4,5/ 1,7/ 6.  $10 gets you 55.55%

3,5,7/ 3,4,5/ 1,7/ 4,7.  $10 gets you 27.77%

 

Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Short and sweet tonight at Bray Raceway, Ballarat. It is a terrific card of racing but there are a few vulnerable in most races and while we may well tip six winners or more I’m hammering one Best Bet at what I’m hoping will be flip-of-the-coin odds and a quartet of Quads which may yield a pretty substantial dividend - so long as our Best Bet gets the cash!

Best Bet

Foldem (Race 6 no. 7) ($2.20) ($100 win)

This bloke has rolled to the top, run along in transit and broken his rivals’ spirit in both heat and semi final of the Snowball Series and should almost certainly sweep that series in a similar fashion tonight. He has been significantly aided by the fact his main and perhaps only danger Now Shezaterror (1) is a slow beginner who’ll be spotting him many metres soon after the start.

Quaddiesx4 ($100 outlay)

1/ 7/ 7/ 5,6,7. $30 gets 1000%.

1/ 3,4,5/ 7/ 5,6,7. $36 gets 400%.
4,7,8/ 7/ 7/ 5,6,7. $27 gets 300%.
4,7,8/ 3,4,5/ 7/ 5,6,7. $7 gets 25.93%.

Bill Hutchison (@Hutchysays)

 

Best Value

 

Rojen Dream (Race 1 no. 4) ($6.50)

We’re betting for value as usual tonight and I have a liking for this guy. He was a big run at Maryborough when working hard in the breeze and third last week and he meets beatable opposition here tonight.

 

Gluteus Major (Race 2 no. 10) ($4.50)

Zedalite probably runs favourite but the way this guy is going he’s a lot better value on an Each Way basis. His Kilmore win two back was a beauty and he was luckless last start at Hamilton when shaking loose of a pocket and flying home for third.

 

Best Roughie

 

One Fellas Fancy (Race 5 no.6) ($12)

She improved big time on her prior form with an easy all-the-way win at Cranbourne last week. Her gate speed will be important here as it may see her in front and at the double figure odds she’s worth an Each Way wager.

 

Quaddie

1,5,7/4,7/1,7/5,6,7. $100 gets 277.78%.

  

 

STAR TRIALLER

Dreamsndesires (Race 8 no. 6) ($1.80)

Marnie Bibby-prepared Our Sir Vancelot gelding on debut who finished second at his most recent trial at Maryborough 10 days ago in 2:06.9 and he looks talented enough to be hard to beat first up.