Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Bendigo

The Game Plan for Bendigo – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
This is an AMAZINGLY difficult programme, so once again I’m very pleased to have the Good Form Guru submitting his Game Plan for tonight. In total, I’m just going to target 1 Best Bet, 1 Best Value and 1 Best Roughie plus some VERY wide Quads.

Best Bet ($40 Win)
Chevals Racer (Race 1 no. 4) $2.25
This guy should appreciate a return to the mobile tonight where he can use his brilliant gate speed to spear to the lead and lead his rivals a merry dance.

Best Value ($20 Each Way)
Cool Machrista (Race 8 no. 1) $5.50
This is a tricky little race but on his best form this bloke looks horribly difficult to beat and the $5.50 looks more than good enough to me.

Best Roughie ($5 x $15)
Super Zeck (Race 3 no. 10) $15
This guy won at any old odds two starts back then proved that was no fluke by running another huge race last time out. There are some pretty handy horses engaged here but if he does everything right and you’re getting double figure odds he’s worth a little lash.

The Quads (x2)
6,7,9/ 2,5,7,8/ 3,6,12/ 1,3,6,7,8. $45 gets 25%
3,6,7,8,9/ 2,5,6,7,8/ 1,3,6,8,12,13/ 1,3,6,7,8. $55 gets 7.33%

The Game Plan for Bendigo with Andrew Evans. (@AndrewEvansHRV).

Best Bets ($50 Win)
(Race 1 No 4 Chevals Racer) $2.25
This guy was dominant in his all the way wins from mobile starts at Shepparton recently. Last start he wasn’t suited by the standing start conditions and made a few mistakes after getting bottled up along the pegs after a moderate getaway from his 10m handicap. He returns to the mobile start here and from his draw he should be able to find the lead without too much trouble and prove very hard to beat.  

(Race 8 No 3 Open Heart)  $3.40
This mare was very impressive winning last start where she fought off all challengers in the lane after showing great speed to circle the field and find the front just before the bell. She should be able to find a spot early from her good draw here and on the strength of her last start win will be hard to beat. 
Best Value

(Race 5 No 7 Tombstone Eden) ($25W/$25P) $6
This mare was a dominant winner in an easier affair here last week. She will go back from her wide draw here but there should be good pace on up front which will play into her hands. She has got a great sprint on her when she can work into the race with a trail and I think those conditions could eventuate tonight and she is great value at $6.

(Race 6 No 5 Jacouis Lad) ($20W/$30P) $11
I think that this bloke should have enough speed to find the lead here in an open race and at the $11 quoted in today’s Herald Sun he looks over the odds.

Quaddie x2
2,3,6,9/ 2/ 5,6,7,8,12/ 1,3,4,8 $50 gets 62.5%
2,3,6,9/ 7,8/ 5,6,7,8,12/ 1,3,4,8 $50 gets 31.25%

Star Triallers (Racing Tonight)
Basil Knight (Race 3 no. 5) $15
(Maryborough 29/9 – 2190m/2:07.4 – 61.4 – 30.2/ 4m x 4m/ Sunset Truscott 2nd)

David Van Ryn is a squaregaiting specialist when it comes to training and he produced this recently turned four-year-old to win a trial at the home of the squaregaiter a couple of weeks ago.

There is nothing particularly spectacular about the overall time however he came home quickly in 30.2 but interestingly he defeated Sunset Truscott by 4 metres and that horse is a Breeders Crown Free For All placegetter, has run in a Dullard Cup and won a heat of the emerging stars.

Basil Knight himself has won just 1 from 9 however he was never far away from some handy three-year-old trotters last season running placings behind Steal A Sixpence and Sun Of Sonoko.

He last raced on April 11 so following the break he looks to have come back well and although there won’t be any need to break the bank on him, he has found a winnable race and is worth a bet at each-way odds.

It’s also worth noting the fact that he has stepped well at all of his stand-start attempts (despite breaking after the start a couple of times) and he gets back to the front line draw this season.

Forever Perfect (Race 4 no. 1) $18
(Shepparton 3/10 – 2190m/1:59.8 – 58.8/ 5m x 1m/ No Tomorrow 2nd)

This girl is another who isn’t in for her times but visually she was pretty impressive. Showing a little bit of toe off the arm, she settled in front 50 metres from the start. After handing up in the middle stages, she pulled out off the back and charged to the lead.

Doc Wilson was in the cart and although he did shake her up in the straight, she was clearly too good for her rivals (including the promising filly No Tomorrow).

The other thing to note is that this mare is not only a Group 2 placegetter; she has run in a Queensland Oaks & a Nursery Pace Final.

Even if she doesn’t have enough speed to hold them early she should end up three-back on the pegs at worst and can run a place at big odds from there.

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