Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Mildura

The Game Plan for Mildura – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Tonight’s Sunraysia card is a little different to normal as there should be no more than two red figure favourites across the eight-race card. This means that we’ll have to avoid the monster All-Up or Formula wagers we’d usually partake in at this course in preference for 2 Value Bets, 2 Money Races and some Quads.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)

Attitude Adjuster (Race 4 no. 8) $4.50
This is one of many races today w/ three or four winning chances but I’m relying upon two things to help the above pacer get the chocolates. The first is that w/ Ignite The Fuse (1) and Bretaca (2) both engaged there should be a savage early burn which will soften both horses up. The second is that our guy is first up for Shayne Cramp and that’s never a sign they’re on the downhill slide.

McArdles Art (Race 6 no. 1) $5.50

A few things are going to have to go right both at the start and the finish for this guy but the fact remains he has been a dead-set Good Form Black booker at both of his past two runs and he deserves to break through from the ideal alley so if a) he holds the leaders back at worst in transit and b) the gaps open up for him late – he should be winning this in his current vein of form.

The Money Races ($50 Flexi Trifectas)

Race 2
I’m very confident one of the two Cramp runners will win and both should feature on the podium. Pental Cracker (11) is the better horse for mine but Embraced (1) has the draw and deserves to rate on top as a result.

1,11/ 1,11/ 5,6,8. $24 gets 400%

1,11/ 5,6,8/ 1,11. $14 gets 233.33%
1,11/ 5,6,8/ 5,6,8. $12 gets 100%

Race 7

The poorly drawn guns should dominate proceedings here so expect Glasscutterspririt (9) and Pirates Plunder (10) to fight out the finish and both finish on the dais because if they don’t we’ve done our dough for sure!

9,10/ 9,10/ 4,6. $20 gets 500%

9,10/ 9,10/ 2,5,7. $15 gets 250%
9,10/ 4,6/ 9,10. $10 gets 250%
9,10/ 2,5,7/ 9,10. $5 gets 83.33%

The Quads (x4) 

1,2,4,8/ 1,2,3,10/ 1,11/ 9,10. $64 gets 100%
1,2,4,8/ 1,2,3,10/ 1,11/ 4,6. $16 gets 25%
1,2,4,8/ 1,2,3,10/ 2,5/ 9,10. $16 gets 25%
1,2,4,8/ 1,2,3,10/ 2,5/ 4,6. $4 gets 6.25%

The Game Plan for Mildura with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).

Best Bet

(Race 2 No 1 Embraced) ($50 Win) $2.65

This mare has run well at her past two runs from second row draws in South Australia. She has her first start here for the Shayne Cramp stables and from the draw she should have enough gate speed to hold the lead in a very winnable race. Her biggest danger is probably stable mate Pental Cracker but she is poorly drawn on the outside of the second line.

Best Value

(Race 5 No 2 Blissful Hart)   ($50W/$50P) $4.50

This guy found plenty in the lane to score comfortably last start after parking in the breeze at Shepparton. He meets some good opposition tonight but it’s hard to ignore the form he is in and I expect him to be right in the finish again from the good draw.

Quaddie x4

2,8/ 1,2,10/ 1,2,11/ 10 $50 gets 417%
1/ 1,2,10/ 1,2,11/ 10 $14 gets 233%
2,8/ 1,2,10/ 1,2,11/ 9 $30 gets 250%
1/ 1,2,10/ 1,2,11/ 9 $6 gets gets 100%



TAB.COM.AU HITS & MEMORIES
MOVE OF THE WEEK:
Echuca October 1: Juke Kartel $12 into $4.60 (1st)
($200 each way @ $12; $300 @ $7.50; $400 @ $4.80).

WHERE THERE'S SMOKE THERE'S FIRE:
Albion Park September 30: Newyork Teddy $9 into $4 (1st);
Pinjarra September 30: Whatashambles $17 into $7.50 (1st);
Gloucester Park October 1: Robyns C C $5.50 into $2.20 (1st);
Young October 4: Embellished $3 into $1.70 (1st);
Newcastle October 4: Rockamah $4.50 into $2.25 (1st).

LEFT IT IN THE BAG:
Melton September 29: Lite Jagermeister $3.50 into $1.70 (2nd);
Redcliffe October 2: Prong $9 into $4 (unplaced);
Penrith October 3: Arctic Falcon $6 into $2.80 (unplaced);
Albion Park October 4: Hotshot Anvil $10 into $4.20 (unplaced);
Leeton October 5: One Track Mind $18 into $4.80 (unplaced).

HITS:
Ballarat October 3: Future Operator $500 at $13 ($6000+ return);
Ballarat October 3: Isabelle Delacour $500 at $12 ($5500+);
Pinjarra September 30: Whatashambles $500 at $11 ($5000+);
Albion Park October 4: Elzar $600 at $8 ($4200+);
Albion Park September 30: Attaccovita $10000 at $1.40 ($4000+).

MISSES:
Melton September 29: Lite Jagermeister $5000 at $1.80;
Tamworth September 30: Chilli Ice Maiden $5000 at $1.50;
Echuca October 1: Timeseel $4000 at $1.50;
Ballarat October 3: Goodtime Veejay $4000 at $2.20;
Cranbourne October 5: Crazy Dave $3500 at $1.50.

PRE-POST THIS WEEK:
October 11: Canty Park Trotting Cup (Open) $25,000 Addington (NZ) G3
October 11: Canterbury Classic (Open) $40,000 Addington (NZ) G2
October 11: Members Sprint (Open) $35,000 Gloucester Park (WA) G3
October 12: The Be Good Johnny Sprint (Open) $30,000 Albion Park (QLD) G3
October 12: Geelong Rocket (Open) $30,000 Geelong (VIC) G3