Good Form Preview - Hump Day @ Ararat

The Game Plan for Ararat - with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

After a super start to the week I'm once again pretty keen on tonight's meeting so hopefully we can keep the momentum rolling. In truth, tonight's programme is one where you could comfortably find a good bet in six of the seven races but I'm going to stick with 2 Best Bets in an All-Up, 2 Best Value Bets, 2 Best Roughies a Money Race and some Quads.

Best Bets/ All-Up ($50)

Aheadofhistime (Race 2 no. 3) $2.75
This guy has won four races. His rivals haven't won four races between them. He also has a great affinity with this track and whether he leads as expected or has to sit parked he should be winning tonight.

Armbro Speedstar (Race 6 no. 10) $1.65
Here is another case where class should just tell the story. This guy has been racing in much better races than this - and critically - he has the toughness and stamina to work as hard as he likes here and almost certainly still get the cash.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)

Megasam (Race 1 no. 1) $10
I'm pretty keen here. Simply put, this bloke was bolting in behind the leader and almost certainly should have won the last time he met a field of this nature and his last two efforts have been in much stronger grade. He should hold his rivals wide early before taking a sit here and with any luck at all he's the one they have to beat at very tasty odds.

Peaces Of You (Race 7 no. 6) $5
Once again I'm banking on class here. This mare has been racing aginst metropolitan class while most if not all of her rivals could only dream of doing same. The only issue for her here is she may end up parked throughout but she's pretty tough too and looks the horse to beat.

Best Roughies ($5 x $20)

Xbolt (Race 4 no. 10) $13
This is a race of four hopes and if he comes up anywhere near $10 then he's worth a little crack as he's clearly the value option of the race.

Juke Kartel (Race 5 no. 5) $10
This guy is also going pretty well and if he can hold the leaders back at worst here he's a massive winning hope at good odds in today's Herald Sun.

The Money Race - Race 6 (Flexi Trifectas for $50)

Armbro Speedstar (10) is clearly the testing material here and the only horse I see as capable of rolling him is Vinnies Jet (3). If both horses feature prominently on the podium we should get a tidy result from the race.

10/ 3/ 1,4,5,8,9. $30 gets 600%
10/ 1,4,5,8,9/ 3. $10 gets 200%
3/ 10/ 1,4,5,8,9. $10 gets 200%

The Quads (x4)

1,3,9,10/ 1,3,4/ 10/ 1,6,8,9,10. $60 gets 100%
1,3,9,10/ 9,10,11/ 10/ 1,6,8,9,10. $20 gets 33.33%
1,3,9,10/ 1,3,4/ 3/ 1,6,8,9,10. $15 gets 25%
1,3,9,10/ 9,10,11/ 3/ 1,6,8,9,10. $5 gets 8.33%

The Game Plan for Ararat with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).

 

Best Value

Race 2 No 2 Susie Badland ($25 Each Way) $4.75

This mare should have enough speed to cross the horse drawn inside her here and then she can either attempt an all the way win or hand up to race favourite Aheadofhistime. In a race that doesn’t have much depth she is over the odds at the $4.75 that is quoted in today’s Herald Sun.

Race 3 No 1 Lovable Nick ($25 Win) $5.50

This bloke meets weaker opposition to what he met last start and from the inside gate he should have enough speed to either hold the lead and go for an all the way win or take a sit behind a suitable rival and then get the last shot via the sprint lane. Either way he looks a great chance against the opposition he meets tonight.

 Money Races

 

Race 2 (Trifectas) $50

2,3/ 2,3/ 1 $15 gets 750%

2,3/ 1/ 2,3 $7.5 gets 375%

2,3/ 2,3/ 5,6,7,8 $20 gets 250%

2,3/ 5,6,7,8/ 2,3 $7.50 gets 94%

 

Race 2 (Quinella)

2,3 for $50

 

Race 4 (First Four) $50

3/ 2,8,9/ 1,2,8,9,10/ 1,2,8,9,10 $50 gets 138%

 

Race 6 (Trifectas) $50

10/ 3,6/ 3,4,6 $30 gets 750%

10/ 3,6/ 2,8,11 $12 gets 200%

3,6/ 10/ 3,4,6 $8 gets 200%

Quads x4

3/ 1,3,4,10/ 10/ 1,5,6,8,10 $60 gets 300%

2,8,9/ 1,3,4,10/ 10/ 1,5,6,8,10 $15 gets 25%

3/ 1,3,4,10/ 3,6/ 1,5,6,8,10 $15 gets 37.50%

2,8,9/ 1,3,4,10/ 3,6/ 1,5,6,8,10 $10 gets 8.33%