Monday, October 21, 2013

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Maryborough

The Game Plan for Maryborough – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Pleasingly, after a difficult weekend, I reckon I’ve found a few today! And even more pleasingly, most Good Form followers should be cashed up after the Guru landed a massive Quaddie at Cranbourne last night. Not sure the odds will hold up for all of them but I am targeting 3 Best Bets in a little Formula 2, plus 1 Best Roughie, 2 Money Races & a cavalcade of Quads.

Best Bets/ Formula 2 ($60 gets 20 units)

Eliseos Falcon (Race 2 no. 1) $2.20

I’m well aware that third guy is stepping up to take on older horse early in his 3Yo term but there’s something about him I really like and if he can hold his rivals wide early here as expected I think it will take a big performance to run him down today.

Endorsement (Race 4 no. 1) $3.25

I’m really bullish here. A short course specialist that thrives on leading and won a similar race to this three starts back @ Shepparton, he gets everything made to order here and should be winning as a result.

Lite Jagermeister (Race 7 no. 11) $3.50

In short, I’ve been really impressed with this former Kiwi mare’s last couple of wins where she’s done it tough and proven too strong, so even from the awkward draw here I think she’ll come with one long run and hunt her rivals down.

Best Roughie ($5 x $35)

Cityscape (Race 4 no. 8) $13

In the Speed Map scenario that I have envisaged this bloke is a great hope of punching through and holding the back of likely leader Endorsement (1) here and given he almost always performs best off soft peg-line trips I’m keen he’ll run a drum at pretty handy odds.

The Money Races ($50 Flexi Trifectas)

Race 2

As previously mentioned, I’m pretty bullish about Eliseos Falcon (1) winning this race while I’m also confident that the key threat and only hope of blousing that horse is Bliss Man (3). Doey Doeback (2) is also a clear third pick so we should be able to get something out of this race w/ a big %.

1/ 3/ 2. $25 gets 2500%

1/ 3/ 5,6. $6 gets 300%

1/ 2/ 3. $10 gets 1000%

3/ 1/ 2. $9 gets 900%

Race 4

Endorsement (1) is going to play a big role in whether this is a good day or not so we’d really love him to lob from here and then we’re going to favour those likely to follow the pegs and those up on the speed to run in here behind him.

1/ 2,3,8,9/ 2,3,8,9. $38 gets 316.67%

1/ 2,3,8,9/ 4,5,11. $12 gets 100%

The Quads (x6)

1/ 7,10/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 11. $20 gets 200%

1/ 7,10/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 7. $10 gets 100%

1/ 2,3,4,5,6/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 7. $12.50 gets 50%

2,3,8/ 7,10/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 11. $30 gets 100%

2,3,8/ 7,10/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 7. $15 gets 50%

2,3,8/ 2,3,4,5,6/ 1,7,8,11,12/ 11. $12.50 gets 16.67%

Star Trialler (Racing Today)

Fiery Rum (Race 8 no. 7) $35

This Peter Hornsby-trained trotter has been marked a $35 chance in today’s Herald Sun following two less than encouraging efforts at Menangle back in late August/early September however he has been trialling well at Shepparton of recent times. The one trick here is that he has been prone to make mistakes in his trials and races however when he does everything right he has travelled like a squaregaiter who could easily knock off a T0-T1 race like the one he has drawn tonight. He will start from the outside of the front row today and we will have to hold our breath in the run, but if his manners are in check he will cause them serious havoc.

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