Friday, October 18, 2013

Good Form Preview - Saturday Night @ Nyah Cup @ Swan Hill


The Game Plan for Nyah Cup night - with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet ($50 Win)

Will Atone (Race 9 no. 3) $1.80
This laste bllomer has been flying of late and looks thrown in off 10m when you consider her well above average talent.

Best Roughies ($5 x $20)

Thats Mister Ali (Race 7 no. 2) $26/ $5.44 TAB Fixed Odds
A brilliant beginner from the stand on his day he looks a big chance of finding the pegs first and running a massive race once he does.

Jukebox Music (Race 7 no. 6) $26/ $5.44 TAB Fixed Odds
I think this bloke is in career best form and given he ALWAYS races his best under these conditions the place price in particular looks the way to go. I would wait for Pari odds for both these horses thoguh becayse they'll both pay better than $5 the drum.

The Money Races

Race 4

5,11,12,13 Boxed. $26 gets 108.33%
5,11,12,13/ 5,11,12,13/ 2,6,7,10. $24 gets 50%

Race 5

7,9/ 7,9/ 1,2,3,6,8,10. $36 gets 300%
7,9/ 1,2,3,6,8,10/ 7,9. $14 gets 116.67%

Race 6

2/ 1,3,8,10/ 1,3,8,10. $24 gets 200%
2/ 1,3,8,10/ 4,9,12. $9 gets 75%
1,3,8,10/ 2/ 1,3,8,10. $15 gets 125%
1,3,8,10/ 2/ 4,9,12. $2 gets 16.67%

The Quads (x2)

5,11,12,13/ 7,9/ 2,3,8,10/ 3,10,11,12. $84 gets 65.63%
5,11,12,13/ 7,9/ 1,9/ 3,10,11,12. $16 gets 25%

NYAH CUP

·         The NYAH CUP has been run since 1968 at Nyah with last year the first year on the new track at SWAN HILL.

·         Look out for Daryl Douglas who has won the race 5 times including 4 of the last 6. Kerryn Manning is next best with 3 wins.

·         Not really a roughies type race with the last 5 winners being well in the market (under $8.00).

·         Hard race to trend as run only once a new track (which was opening night. Interestingly most winners were coming off a mobile run in a good class metro race before contesting this race.

·         CONCLUSION: Looking for fancied runner off the front who is coming from metropolitan form..











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