Good Form Preview - Monday @ Horsham

The Game Plan for Horsham – with Jason Bonnington
After a somewhat topsy-turvy week on the punt we finished on a pretty good note w/ a tidy profit on Kilmore Cup Day so hopefully that can be the foundation of a big few days to finish off the month. I’m not encouraging too many bets today but I am pretty confident about the ones I’ve found which are comprised of 2 Best Value Bets, 1 Money Race and 1 almighty Quad.

Best Value

Courageous Emm (Race 2 no. 2) $10
To be honest, this bloke doesn’t inspire an amazing amount of trust but he does have plenty of talent when he gets it all right, which we saw when he led most of the way two starts back. He arrives here fresh from a spell but did win a recent Maryborough trial finishing off in 58.1 and give I don’t think he’s facing any starts here the $10 quoted in today’ Herald Sun (which we’re unlikely to get) would be massive overs for mine.

Ynobe Coby (Race 7 no. 2) $9
This is a wide open race and he Manning army are out in force but there are a few things in this guy’ favour here today. The first of those is the draw. He has not seen the front line for a very long time and as a quick beginner who should be able to hold the lead here the polemarking alley looks a massive plus. As does the short course trip over which he’s done all his best racing so he’s my top tip today and wonderful value at the $9 he’s showing in today’s Herald Sun.

The Money Race – Race 4 (Flexi First 4’s for $100)

This is a beautiful betting race. Simply put, there are two horses here who look to have lengths on their rivals and should draw away to fight out the race. I have a slight leaning to Fearless Leader (6) but would still be pretty happy if Kickittochris (7) lands the prize.

6/ 7/ 2,3,8/ 1,2,3,5,8. $54 gets 450%

6/ 7/ 1,5/ 1,2,3,5,8. $12 gets 150%
7/ 6/ 2,3,8/ 1,2,3,5,8. $28 gets 233.33%
7/ 6/ 1,5/ 1,2,3,5,8. $6 gets 75%

The Quads

6,7/ 1,3,4,5,7,8,9/ 1,3,4,7,11,12,13/ 2,3,6,8,9,11. $100 gets 17.01%


TAB.COM.AU HITS & MEMORIES
MOVE OF THE WEEK:
Bathurst October 23: Make Some Magic $26 into $7.50 (1st)
($100 each way @ $26; $200 each way @$12; $250 @ $9).

WHERE THERE'S SMOKE THERE'S FIRE:
Newcastle October 21: Black Caprice $2.10 into $1.30 (1st);
Pinjarra October 21: Katie Maguire$2.60 into $1.40 (1st);
Geelong October 22: Tuscan Breeze $3 into $1.80 (1st);
Bathurst October 23: Kyalla Luke $4.20 into $2.4 (1st);
Gloucester Park October 25: Cooper Trooper $6 into $3 (1st).

LEFT IT IN THE BAG:
Globe Derby October 21: Backstreet Lad $14 into $6.50 (2nd);
Pinjarra October 21: Blacknsweet Adda $7.50 into $2.80 (unplaced);
Ararat October 23: Vinnies Jet $26 into $9 (unplaced);
Shepparton October 24: Katie Lively $35 into $8 (2nd);
Bendigo October 26: Sound The Alarm $26 into $7.50 (unplaced).

HITS:
Newcastle October 21: Hangover Joe $2000 at $5.50 ($9000+ return);
Albion Park October 26: Shes Commando $2000 at $5.50 ($9000+);
Menangle October 22: Heavenly Cullen $5000 at $1.90 ($4500+);
Penrith October 24: The Cowboy $500 at $10 ($4500+);
Shepparton October 24: Just Live Life $1000 at $5.50 ($4500+).
 
MISSES:
Newcastle October 26: Inception $5000 at $1.30;
Bathurst October 23: Denise And Jules $4000 at $1.40;
Goulburn October 25: Armalife $3500 at $1.60;
Geelong October 22: Real Grit $3500 at $2.60;
Maryborough October 21: Glenferrie Park $3000 at $2.
 
PRE-POST THIS WEEK:
November 1: Mount Eden Sprint $50,000 Gloucester Park (WA) G2
November 1: Tailamade Lombo $25,000 TABCORP Park Melton (VIC) Listed
November 2: Nick Robin FFA $25,000 TABCORP Park Menangle (NSW) Listed
November 3: Maryborough Gold Cup $25,000 Maryborough (VIC) Listed
November 3: Maryborough Trotters Cup $15,000 Maryborough (VIC) Listed