Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Cranbourne


The Game Plan for Cranbourne – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)


First things first – we’re bringing back the OctoQuad! I know you’re beside yourself w/ joy right now but once you’ve settled down I’ll let you know that we’re also targeting 2 Best Bets, 1 Best Value & 1 Best Roughie on a programme where we could easily end up well in front if a few things fall our way!

Best Bets ($50 Win)

Satisfied Grin (Race 4 no. 5) $3.50

This bloke was not too far away at all for new trainer Glenn Douglas last time out and with natural improvement and the fact he’s a great chance of crossing over and finding the front here he’s worth a straight out lash at pretty handy odds.

Goodtime Jasper (Race 7 no. 6) $2.40

Simply put, this bloke has been competing w/ distinction at metropolitan level through most of the season so far and the drop back to C4-C5 grade will suit him down to the ground. I’m also not worried about the wide draw as he should just progress forward and probably find the top.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)

Petes Party (Race 2 no. 8) $5.50

I wouldn’t be breaking the bank here but this is not a strong race, the above mare has more talent than most of her rivals and even if she’s three pegs, Cranbourne has the widest and most accommodating sprint lane in the Victorian trots.

Best Roughie ($15 x $35)

Elle Jasper (Race 5 no. 1) $10

Speaking of sprint lanes, this mare will also be using one here once she hands up to an appropriate rival from the polemarking draw. She’s not the best horse engaged but she gets everything to suit and it would shock somewhat if she did not fill a hole.

The OctoQuad

5/ 1,4,5,6/ 3/ 6. $20 gets 500%

5/ 1,4,5,6/ 3/ 7,10. $16 gets 200%

5/ 1,4,5,6/ 1,2,5/ 6. $6 gets 50%

5/ 1,4,5,6/ 1,2,5/ 7,10. $5 gets 20.83%

3,7,10/ 1,4,5,6/ 3/ 6. $24 gets 200%

3,7,10/ 1,4,5,6/ 3/ 7,10. $12 gets 50%

3,7,10/ 1,4,5,6/ 1,2,5/ 6. $9 gets 25%

3,7,10/ 1,4,5,6/ 1,2,5/ 7,10. $8 gets 11.11%

 

The Game Plan for Cranbourne with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).


Best Value

(Race 3 No 1 My Name is Earl) $50 Each Way $4.25

This guy has been knocking on the door recently finishing in the money at his past five runs. He usually begins well from the tapes and he finds himself in a very winnable race tonight with some of his main rivals starting off handicaps.

Money Race

Race 7 (First 4’s) $100

6/ 10/ 1,3,7,8,9/ 1,3,7,8,9 $50 gets 250%
6/ 1,3,7,8,9/ 10/ 1,3,7,8,9 $30 gets 150%
10/ 6/ 1,3,7,8,9/ 1,3,7,8,9 $20 gets 100%

Quads x4

1,3,5/ 1,2,4,6,9/ 3/ 6 $40 gets 266.67%

1,3,5/ 1,2,4,6,9/ 3/ 10 $20 gets 133.33%
1,3,5/ 1,2,4,6,9/ 1,2,4,5/ 6 $26.50 gets 44.17%

1,3,5/ 1,2,4,6,9/ 1,2,4,5/ 10 $13.50 gets 22.50%

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