Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Good Form Game Plan - Wednesday @ Bray

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
After a pretty solid night at Cranbourne we’ve got some bullets to fire at Bray Raceway tonight and I’m playing a number of ways to spread the load in the hope of a really decent collect. Among our attack will be 2 Best Value Best & 1 Best Roughie along w/ 2 Money Races and a trio of Quads.

Best Value ($20 Each Way)
Bubble Art (Race 3 no. 1) $7
This girl is a dead-set standing start specialist who loves nothing more than beginning well, following the pegs and trying to ambush her rivals in the lane. She won’t have access to a Sprint Lane tonight but everything else is in her favour so rate her as a real winning chance at the pretty handy quote.

Happy Hombre (Race 4 no. 9) $5
This guy was just about to start his charge at this course last time out when breaking up twice and losing any hope. His prior form was very, very good and if he gets a trouble free run tonight he’s the one to beat for sure.

Best Roughie ($20 Place)
Forever Arma (Race 5 no. 8) $18
This mare is no star but if she can hold favourite Shakapac’s (1) back as expected here and they go slowly in transit she’s a huge hope of landing on the dais at exorbitant odds for the place.

The Money Race (Flexi Trifectas for $50)
Race 3
I’ve already outlined above that Bubble Art (1) is a great chance in this at odds and the other key players are Win The Crowd (9) and Make A Fuss (10). If at least two of those three figure prominently, we should make some coin.

1,9,10/ 1,9,10/ 1,8,9,10. $24 gets 200%
1,9,10/ 1,9,10/ 2,3,5,6. $26 gets 108.33%

Race 7
I’m playing more conservatively in Quads but essentially, I just think Suspicious Behavia (2) will lead and win and Nimble Jack (4) should fill a hole behind him. If that happens we’ll be in the cash.

2/ 4/ 3,7. $22 gets 1100%
2/ 3,7/ 4. $10 gets 500%
2/ 4/ 1,6,8. $12 gets 400%
2/ 1,6,8/ 4. $6 gets 200%

Quaddie x4
2,4,5,8,9,10,11,13/ 1/ 4,5/ 2. $60 gets 375%
2,4,5,8,9,10,11,13/ 1/ 4,5/ 4. $12 gets 75%
2,4,5,8,9,10,11,13/ 1/ 1,9/ 2. $12 gets 75%
2,4,5,8,9,10,11,13/ 7,8/ 4,5/ 2. $16 gets 50%
 
The Game Plan for Ballarat with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).
Best Bet
(Race 6 No 4 Modern Chic) $100 Win $2.75
This mare did a super job to finish a narrow second behind smart up and comer Jackabeems after parking outside him last start. I expect her to either sit parked again tonight or even find the lead and be much too good for her opposition.

Money Races
R2 Trifectas $50
7,10/ 7,10/ 3,6,8,9 $20 gets 250%
7,10/ 3,6,8,9/ 7,10 $15 gets 187.50%
7,10/ 3,6,8,9/ 3,6,8,9 $15 gets 62.50%

R3 First 4’s $50
10/ 1,2,9/ 1,2,9/ Field $25 gets 59%
1,2,9/ 10/ 1,2,9/ Field $25 gets 59%

R7 First 4’s $50
2/ 4/ 3,7/ 3,6,7 $20 gets 500%
2/ 3,7/ 4/ 3,6,7 $15 gets 375%
4/ 3,7/ 2/ 3,6,7 $7.50 gets 187.50%
4/ 2/ 3,7/ 3,6,7 $7.50 gets 187.50%

Quads x 3
2,4,5,8,9,13/ 1,7,8/ 4/ 2         $40 gets 222.22%
2,4,5,8,9,13/ 1,7,8/ 4/ 3,4,7  $40 gets 74.07%
2,4,5,8,9,13/ 1,7,8/ 1,2,8/ 2  $20 gets 37.04%

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