Friday, October 25, 2013

Good Form Preview - Friday Night @ HQ

Adam Hamilton's Preview

The Game Plan for Melton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

It’s been a rollercoaster week so far with big wins on Monday and Tuesday and tumbleweed over the last couple of days but last weekend was kind to us so hopefully we can make our mark over the next 72 hours starting tonight! I must say I found this a tricky card from a punting perspective but I am super keen on the Quads and I also think there’s one race where we can make a real killing. Outside of that I think we’re best just to fiddle and enjoy the night!

Best Bets/ All-Up ($25)

Basil Knight (Race 2 no. 1) $2.20

This bloke comes from the most impressive crop of 3YO trotters in modern memory and looked simply outstanding when successful last time out. I would have preferred him to draw anywhere but the pole however he should still prove a class above these w/ any luck at all.

Bit Of A Babe (Race 3 no. 6) $1.80

She’s a lot faster than she is tough and it does leave a bad taste in my mouth making her a Best Bet but the facts are that she should spear across these early before either dropping anchor and leading all the way or handing up if serious pressure is applied. Either way she should win comfortably or I’ll sack her for all time!

Best Roughie

Melton Little Max (Race 4 no. 2) $5 x $20

This bloke was beaten by 27.7m as a $137 chance behind Sals Mo last time out but he finds himself in a pretty moderate race here and has caught the eye running home at his past two efforts. I’m not expecting miracles but the reason you study videos is to find horses like him who can run a race for you at genuine monster odds.

The Money Race - Race 7 ($150 Flexi Trifectas)

If we’re going to make some real coin tonight, we’ll have to do it here. Simply put, with the scratching of Regal Knight this looks a total two horse war between Sals Mo (2) and Hugo Play (6) two brutal enforcers who shouldn’t get tired no matter how hard they run the race. It will be something of a shock if they don’t run the Quinella and w/ limited chances to even fill the bronze medal role I think this is the Goldmine Race of the evening.

2,6/ 2,6/ 4,7,9/ 4,7,9. $72 gets 600%

2,6/ 2,6/ 4,7,9/ 1,3,8. $48 gets 375%

2,6/ 4,7,9/ 2,6/ 2,7,9. $18 gets 150%

2,6/ 4,7,9/ 2,6/ 1,3,8. $12 gets 66.67%

The Quads (x2)

2,6,10/ 6,7,9,10/ 1,8,9/ 2,6. $72 gets 100%

2,6,10/ 6,7,9,10/ 2,5,10/ 2,6. $28 gets 29.17%

The Game Plan for Melton with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).

Best Bet

Race 8 No 5 Midnight Lights $100 Win ($2.80)

This filly has performed well at all three of her career starts. Expect her to use her gate speed and fire straight to the lead tonight and be very hard to run down.

Money Race

Race 7 (First 4s $50 spend)

2,6/ 2,6/ 1,3,4,9/ 1,3,4,7,9 $40 gets 125%

2,6/ 1,3,4,9/ 2,6/ 1,3,4,7,9 $10 gets 31%

Tabcorp Park Trainer Talk – Geoff Webster
Best Chance
Bit Of A Babe (Race 3 no.6) $1.80
“The 2200 is the only concern with her. She should probably lead but the last 100 seems to find her out.
“We’ve been driving her for luck but being odds on I’d say she will have to make her own luck tonight. She’s the better of my two chances.”
Badewitz (Race 1 no.7) $4.20
“He was ordinary last start but I’ve worked him again and had he’s blood done and we can’t find anything wrong with him. Tonight’s a tricky draw with a lot of speed so he’ll have to go back. I’m not sure he can win from there but his work has been good.
“The main thing is he hits the line tonight because they might be a bit sharp for him.”
To view the sectional splits of EVERY HORSE in EVERY RACE at Melton last Friday night simply click here.

As a snapshot below, here are some of the star sectional performers at Melton last weekend.

Fastest Last Mile – Road To Rock: 1:53.26
Fastest Last Half – Road To Rock: 54.33secs
Fastest Last Quarter – Road To Rock: 27.15secs

Quad x1

6,10/ 6,7,9,10/ 2,5,9/ 2,6 $100 gets 208.33%

Speed Maps

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