Thursday, June 19, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Mildura

The Game Plan for Mildura – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)

Best Bet ($50 win)

Aldebaran Macha (Race 4 No.1) 2.10

There’s little doubt that Astronaut (5) can ping the arm and lead comfortably here but the key to this guy’s chances is that the likely leader is going well enough to take him to the straight and from there we will only have to pray for an inch of luck to get out. He was unlucky when returning from a little let up last time and prior to failing at Melton he was racking up wins around the Sunraysia so don’t expect that to change tonight.

Best Value ($20 each way)

Hellovaway (Race 2 No.6) $12

I’m starting to think this guy could be a little underrated. He has notched up two effortless wins and while they were in a seriously lower class than this, he did run time on debut and he looks like a horse that is ready to progress pretty quickly.  The small field means he won’t be too far from them and at big odds he can roll them for sure.

The Money Race

Race 6 ($40 worth of Flexi Trifecta’s)

This is a super little race and given any of Tezz Khora (1), Rate Highly (5), Glenferrie Affair (6) or the well-drawn Sutter Man (7) can win, but probably only Hargrave (9) can fill the minor end of the money, we are going to load up with a trio of trifectas.

Boxed 1,5,6,7. $24 gets 100%

1,5,6,7/1,5,6,7/9. $9 gets 75%

1,5,6,7/9/1,5,6,7. $7 gets 58.33%

Quaddies (x1 worth $120)

4,6,9/1,5,6,7/1,2,7,8/1,2,3,7. $120 gets 62.50%

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