Thursday, June 12, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Charlton

The Game Plan for Charlton – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets/ All Up ($50)
Phil Monty (Race 5 No.2) $1.50
This guy has had just one Australian start and he simply thrashed his rivals. While the mile rate was even, his turn of foot was devastating, reeling off a 56.4sec last half and around the tight-turning Charlton circuit, they may never see him if and when he finds the top.

Hellovaway (Race 8 No.11) $1.40
Much like our first best bet, this guy was heavily supported through the tote last time and that was his first start. It was simply a breathtaking win. He found the front there and just kept running to score by a decent space. While the second row is some obstacle today around a tricky circuit, I still think he is a smart horse in the making and worth following.

Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)
Ruby Heart (Race 3 No.1) $8
This girl hasn’t enjoye much luck at the barriers recently but two starts back when she drew the pole, she ran a terrific fourth beaten just on a length in a race no harder than this. Provided she can hold up behind whoever leads, she is a winning chance for sure and if that doesn’t pan out she is still a serious place threat at nice odds.

Wipem Dry (Race 4 No.9) $8
This guy is underrated and while he was beaten as an odds-on favourite last time, I think the market overreaction here is a bit unfair. He has a trailing draw and with plenty of speed on early, he would only need to replicate any of his last five runs to be ultra-competitive.

The Money Race
Race 6 ($44 worth of Flexi Trifecta’s)
At first glance this looked a relatively easy race to sort out with A Bit Ruthless (3) the horse to beat, I don’t however think he is over the line with Gunbalunya (2), Four Smart Aces (6) and Mixedwithajasper (11) serious threats. We will therefore be playing for some value in the minor money so here is the two trifectas we will be playing to get us some cash.

3/2,6,11/1,2,5,6,8,10,11. $36 gets 200%
2,6,11/3/1,2,5,6,8,10,11. $18 gets 100%

Quaddies (x3 worth $106)
2/3/6/11. $50 gets 5000%
2/3/1,7,9,10/11. $32 gets 800%
2/2,6,11/6/11. $24 gets 800%

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