Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Bendigo


THE GAME PLAN for Bendigo – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

There are a number of short-priced favourites on tonight’s program and most, if not all of them should salute the judge, so value will be hard to come by, but I’ve come up with a Best Value Bet, a couple of Money Races where I'm playing a some straight trifectas and a four-pronged attack on the Quaddie as the best way to get an earn out of the meeting.

BEST VALUE BET

Paua Fella (Race 5 no. 8) $8      $15 win x $35 place
Messini will be a clear favourite for this race and he does have very good form lines, but I’m not totally sold on him and I think Paua Fella has a great chance of knocking him off at reasonable odds.  I know he only won a moderate race at Terang last start but he did it easily and he draws to sit right on the hammer of Messini from the trailing draw so watch for him to be coming at that bloke via the passing lane.

THE MONEY RACES

Race 6
Bespoke Artist and Zacharia draw to be leader/behind leader here and they really should dominate with Major Cruiser a clear third pick in my opinion so I’m going to play a couple of straight Trifectas around the trio.  Below is how I’m spending $50.

1/ 8/ 6.  $40 gets you 4000%
8/ 1/ 6.  $10 gets you 1000%

Race 8
Manellira has trialled well at Melton since finishing a game second to stable mate Mindarie Priddy in the Australian Pacing Gold Final at Albion Park back in May and she should be much too good for these with Quick Draft and Celebrity Lass rating well above the rest so I’m going to play a couple of straight Trifectas around the trio.  Below is how I’m spending $50.

3/ 8/ 4.  $35 gets you 3500%
3/ 4/ 8.  $15 gets you 1500%

QUADDIES x 5 $100 total outlay
12/ 1,8/ 1/ 1,3,6.  $12 gets you 200%
5,6,7,11,12/ 1,8/ 1/ 1,3,6.  $38 gets you 126.66%
5,6,7,11,12/ 1,8/ 8/ 1,3,6.  $20 gets you 66.66%
5,6,7,11,12/ 3,5/ 1/ 1,3,6.  $20 gets you 66.66%
5,6,7,11,12/ 3,5/ 8/ 1,3,6.  $10 gets you 33.33%

BLACK BOOKER/STAR TRIALLER

United Legacy (Race 1 no. 10) $2.40
This guy ran the race of his life at Shepparton last start in a heat of the Vicbred Super Series where he missed the start, tacked onto the bulk of the field with a lap to travel and had the audacity to run third to Rustys Reject.  He has since won a trial on this circuit in impressive fashion and this looks a great race for him to bust his maiden.
The Game Plan for Bendigo – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bets/All-Up

Bespoke Artist (Race 6 no. 1) $1.80
Manellira (Race 8 no. 3) $1.60

The Money Races
Race 5
1,8/ 1,8/ 3,5,6. $24 gets 400%
1,8,/ 1,8/ 4,9. $4 gets 100%
1,8/ 3,5,6/ 1,8. $16 gets 266.67%
3,5,6/ 1,8,/ 1,8. $6 gets 100%

Race 6
1/ 8/ 3,6. $20 gets 1000%
1/ 8/ 4,5,9,11. $20 gets 500%
8/ 1/ 3,6. $5 gets 250%
8/ 1/ 4,5,9,11. $5 gets 125%

Bets Value

Endorsement (Race 4 no. 7) $7
Paua Fella (Race 5 no. 8) $8
Bettor Move (Race 7 no. 1) $7

Quaddies (x4)
6,7,9,10,12/ 1,8/ 1/ 1,3,5,6. $40 gets 100%
6,7,9,10,12/ 3,5,6/ 1/ 1,3,5,6. $40 gets 66.67%
6,7,9,10,12/ 1,8/ 8/ 1,3,5,6. $10 gets 25%
6,7,9,10,12/ 3,5,6/ 8/ 1,3,5,6. $10 gets 16.67%

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