Good Form Preview - Sunday Session at Cranbourne

THE GAME PLAN for Cranbourne – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Tonight’s meeting looks a ripper from an exotic point of view and I’ve come up with Races 4,5 and 6 as the best ones to attack, plus I’m keen on Machin Out in Race 7, have found a Star Trialler in the 2YO and I’ll be having a crack at the Quaddie too.  Here we go!

BEST VALUE BET

Machin Out (Race 7 no. 9) $2.20         $100 win

This bloke has been freshened up by Lance Justice for tonight’s assignment and I think he will be mighty hard to beat.  Here’s why.  1.  Before a let up he had been mixing it with the likes of Jilliby Ablett, Kotare Roland, Washington Heritage and Savesomtimetodream, all of whom would win this by panels.  2.  There will be some speed early in this with Courageous Spirit, Incoming Flight and Aftermidnight Sam all expected to run the gate, which will suit this guy beautifully as he will get a great run through.  3.  I can see Jason Hackett waiting until the dust settles up front, making the move to sit outside the leader and from there I think he will prove a shade too strong.

THE MONEY RACES

Race 4

There are four strong winning chances here with not a lot between them and I think they will all have their share of admirers so there looks to be some value on offer and I’m going to play the below Trifecta for $100 total spend.

1,2,5,11/ 1,2,5,11/ 1,2,5,6,8,11.  $100 gets you 208.33%

Race 5

There are three standout horses here in the shape of Now And Forever, Authorized and Im Living The Dream and I think they will dominate so I’m going to use them as a base for some First Fours.  Below is how I’m playing for $100 total spend.

1,4,8/ 1,4,8/ 1,4,8/ 2,3,9,10.  $52 gets you 216.66%

1,4,8/ 1,4,8/ 2,3,9,10/ 1,4,8.  $36 gets you 150%

1,4,8/ 2,3,9,10/ 1,4,8/ 1,4,8.  $12 gets you 50%

Race 6

Similar to Race 5 I think there are only three possible winning chances in Ymbro Toto, Sals Mo and The Smirker and I will again use them as a base for some First Fours.  There is a greater risk involved with this particular race but if we are on the money the dividend will be quite juicy.  Below is how I’m playing for $100 total spend.

1,3,11/ 1,3,11/ 1,3,11/ 2,6,7,8,9.  $45 gets you 150%

1,3,11/ 1,3,11/ 2,6,7,8,9/ 1,3,11.  $40 gets you 133.33%

1,3,11/ 2,6,7,8,9/ 1,3,11/ 1,3,11.  $15 gets you 50%

QUADDIE

1,2,5,11/ 1,4,8/ 1,3,11/ 2,9.  $100 gets you 138.88%

STAR TRIALLER

Watch This Spot (Race 3 no. 3) $3.20

Kiwi-bred son of Elsu who is making his Aussie debut tonight for the powerful Dean Braun stable and this guy is sure to be well-fancied first up after showing talent in two trials back in his homeland, the latest of those at Rangiora back in early April where he ran home strongly at the end of a 57.3 final half.